Wednesday, September 3, 2025

“Shadow Group” in Washington, DC Could Crash Market

Dear Reader,

After 15 years of serving institutional clients like Fidelity, BlackRock, and Vanguard...

And after calling both the 2008 and 2020 crashes - weeks in advance...

We are stepping out to issue a mass public warning about a disturbingly broken regulator we've uncovered in Washington, D.C... which has already halted major business deals across the country and could soon threaten the daily lives of nearly 1/3rd of the entire country's population.

Frankly, if our nation doesn't take immediate action to solve this... the only logical consequence is a repricing event that could tank our financial markets on a scale many times worse than any crash in the past - even The Great Depression.

I've prepared a full, free presentation on what's happening and what's coming next.

I'm also showing you precisely what to buy and sell to protect your wealth before it's too late.

Click here to learn more.

To your financial safety,

Down 81

Rob Spivey
Director of Research, Altimetry 


 
 
 
 
 
 

Today's Bonus Article

Dueling Insider Moves: Heavy Buying Here, Big Selling There

Written by Leo Miller. Published 9/2/2025.

Insider trading stock chart and note

Key Points

  • A private equity insider just spent millions on this building products stock that is up nearly 50% in less than two months.
  • One of the biggest gainers in tech just saw its top leader sell more than $70 million worth of shares.
  • These are notable bullish and bearish signals for investors.

Insider activity has heated up around two rapidly rallying stocks. On one hand, a major private equity firm is stepping in with hefty purchases, signaling confidence. On the other, a leading tech company's CEO is offloading shares amid a 400%+ surge over the past year.

Below, we'll break down these insider trades and what they may—or may not—suggest for investors.

Resideo Attracts Millions in Private Equity Buying

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Resideo Technologies (NYSE: REZI) is a mid-cap building products company whose shares have soared recently. Since July 15, its stock has climbed roughly 47%, and insiders are buying into the rally. Starting July 25, major shareholder CD&R Channel Holdings II, L.P. has purchased approximately $179 million worth of Resideo shares, while insider selling during the same period totaled just $4 million. CD&R, which owns over 10% of Resideo's equity, likely has deep insight into the company's operations and prospects.

Another CD&R-backed company, Foundation Building Materials (FBM), was recently acquired by Lowe's Companies (NYSE: LOW) for $8.8 billion. FBM was originally taken private in 2021 for $1.4 billion, generating huge returns. Notably, CD&R didn't join that deal until early 2024, so it captured only a fraction of the upside. Nevertheless, FBM's sale underscores CD&R's expertise in the building materials sector.

FBM's success raises the possibility that Resideo could attract a similar takeover at a premium, which would be a boon for shareholders. Overall, CD&R's sizable Resideo purchases are a clear bullish signal. Even absent a takeover, its continued investment suggests confidence in the company's outlook.

AppLovin CEO Sells Near All-Time Highs: A Cautionary Signal?

AppLovin (NASDAQ: APP) has been one of the market's best-performing tech stocks, up nearly 48% year-to-date in 2025 and 444% over the past 52 weeks. On Aug. 29, APP closed at nearly $479, just 7% below its all-time high. MarketBeat data shows that in the second half of August, co-founder and CEO Arash Adam Foroughi sold over $74 million worth of shares.

Insider sales are often dismissed—executives typically use 10b5-1 plans, which are pre-arranged and limit predictive value. However, SEC Form 4 filings reveal that none of Foroughi's August sales were made under a 10b5-1 plan.

The filings also show most of Foroughi's sales were discretionary, with an average price near $419—a bearish clue that he may be cashing in around that level. He also executed $30 million in discretionary sales in February at roughly $410 per share, while a $60 million sale in May around $365 tempers the idea that he uniformly treats the $400+ range as ideal exit points.

Taken together, these transactions represent a moderately bearish signal, even though Foroughi still owns over 10% of APP's equity and remains bullish on its long-term prospects. Additionally, the MarketBeat consensus price target of around $478 suggests the stock is trading near fair value. AppLovin's push into e-commerce advertising offers growth potential but adds execution risk as it diversifies beyond its core mobile-gaming ad business.

Insider Insight Is Useful, But Not Infallible

While insider trades can offer valuable clues, they're not crystal balls. Investors should combine these signals with a comprehensive analysis of Resideo and AppLovin before making any decisions.


 
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