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A Message from Behind the Markets

Dear Reader,

The news shows you missiles.

It doesn't show you the plan.

I didn't see it either…

Until two closed-door meetings with United States Congressmen.

No cameras. No staff. Just straight answers.

What looks like chaos in Iran is strategy.

It's one piece of a hidden economic war on two fronts.

The investors who see it early could be in position before everyone else catches on.

I spent weeks checking this.

I didn't want to believe it.

Now I can't ignore it.

Get the full story here >>

You can ignore this…

Or you can decide for yourself before the clock runs out.

Sincerely,

Dylan Jovine

Founder, Behind the Markets

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Good morning. A Democratic Party rift deepens in Michigan. Gulf Arab states worry about an even more destructive war. And why some Americans are paying as much as $80,000 for donor sperm. Listen to the day’s top stories.

— Marcus Wright

Market Snapshot
S&P 500 Futures	7,651.25	+0.5%
Nasdaq 100 Futures	28,758.25	+0.8%
Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index	1,221.61	-0.1%
Market data as of 06:58 AM ET. Data is subject to provider delays.	Your watchlist

A Democratic Party split deepened as Haley Stevens, who lost Michigan’s Senate primary, took the extraordinary step of endorsing Republican Mike Rogers over nominee Abdul El-Sayed. Final polls by the NYT and Siena showed the Democrats leading in the key Senate battleground seats of Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Maine and Ohio. Donald Trump said he may have to become “Mr. Veto” if Democrats win a majority, according to a clip of a New York Post interview.

Gulf Arab states fear another US-Israeli attack on a better-prepared Iran could unleash an even more destructive war across the region, leaving them to pick up the pieces. Trump told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu he wanted to give diplomacy more time before potentially restarting strikes on Iran, Axios reported, sending oil prices lower.

Futures advanced in a pause to last week’s bruising selloff in the AI trade, with the dip in oil prices helping stocks to start the month on a positive note. Oaktree’s Howard Marks said the recent AI market stumbles have somewhat burst the bubble of infallibility around the sector. Still, Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson said investors should get ready to add risk to their portfolios.

Weil Gotshal’s 95-Year History Careened to a Close in Just Days

More on the midterms: A federal judge dismissed a Trump administration lawsuit seeking to block Alaska election officials from certifying the results of the state’s Senate contest if the Republican candidate loses by a small margin. Over in California, Governor Gavin Newsom warned the state’s top federal judges that the Trump administration may pursue warrants to “seize ballots, election records, or certified voting technology” before results are certified.

A federal judge threw out Trump’s renewed $10 billion defamation lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal and ruled that it can’t be filed again, marking another setback for the president’s legal fights with the press. Trump or his business interests have also filed multimillion dollar complaints against the NYT and the British Broadcasting Corp.

Deep Dive: Crypto and the Binance Hack

The Binance app. — The Binance app on a smartphone.

Since the record cyber theft from the world’s largest crypto exchange last week, traders bracing for the worst have instead watched Bitcoin pull off an unexpected feat: defying gravity.

Binance has seen a net outflow of $4.7 billion in cryptoassets after restoring customer withdrawals yesterday, in the wake of the $6.4 billion theft last week.
Still, the digital pilferage has raised fresh questions about crypto’s vulnerabilities and whether anyone’s money is really safe. The next-largest attack, on Bybit in 2025, was just a fraction of the latest heist.
The FBI blamed North Korea for the Binance theft, saying it had observed the stolen assets being converted into Ethereum and that they will likely “be further laundered by converting them using DeFi and instant swap services.” Some experts think North Korean hackers have incorporated powerful AI tools into their arsenal.
Here’s our account of how the Binance hack began with a rehearsal.

The Big Take

The Indonesia Stock Exchange. — Stock market information displayed at the Indonesia Stock Exchange in Jakarta.

Stock trading schemes that helped enrich Indonesia’s tycoons have put the country on the verge of a costly MSCI downgrade. Now, regulators are scrambling to expedite reforms and clean up the market, which is suffering the world’s worst rout this year.

Opinion

Every tech selloff chips away at the vaunted promise of artificial intelligence — and there have been several, John Authers writes. Last week’s reaction to third-quarter earnings, which saw Alphabet alone lose more than $530 billion in market cap, brings the day of reckoning a step closer.

More Opinions

Andreas Kluth

Who’ll Be Up, Down and Sideways in Foreign Policy After the Midterms

Parmy Olson

Silicon Valley’s AI Bets Are Built on Hype, Hope and Hubris

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Kelly Lacob. — Kelly Lacob, who lives in San Francisco, is pregnant with a baby girl conceived through IVF using donor sperm.

Some Americans are paying as much as $80,000 for donor sperm that will be provided only to a limited number of other would-be parents. Boutique sperm banks are offering the exclusive service to those who want to know their donor and are willing to pay more to cap how many children he can father.

A Couple More