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Deeply Undervalued, Micron Technologies Stock Isn't Pricing in AI
Written by Thomas Hughes. Published 8/14/2025.
Key Points
- Micron's stock presents a deep value in August that won't last: this market has begun to price in AI.
- The analysts' trends are robust, leading this market to a solid double-digit gain that may be reached before the FQ4 release.
- A strong Q4 report and even higher highs are expected later in the year.
Micron Technologies (NASDAQ: MU) stock has rebounded as of mid-August and likely has further upside. The market still hasn't fully priced in AI's long-term impact, and AI workloads are increasingly memory-intensive—with demand projected to grow exponentially with each new generation.
Micron's memory solutions are already in high demand among leading GPU manufacturers, and the market dynamics point to an acceleration of that demand by 2026.
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Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) has introduced AI-focused GPUs with significantly more memory than NVIDIA's (NASDAQ: NVDA) current designs. AMD's upcoming rack-scale capability is expected to win market share in 2026, further boosting demand for Micron's HBM4 technology.
While forecasts for the GPU market vary, most sources agree on a solid, double-digit CAGR over the next five to ten years.
At a mid-August P/E of roughly 15×—which we view as fair value—Micron presents a deep value opportunity for long-term buy-and-hold investors. MarketBeat's consensus projects MU trading at just 8× earnings within two years, implying the potential for a near-triple-digit stock price gain. If those long-term forecasts prove conservative, the undervaluation only deepens.
Micron's Growth Outlook Underpinned by AI and Market Normalization
Beyond AI, normalization in legacy end markets is gaining momentum. Although year-over-year contraction persisted in some segments during fiscal Q3, all saw sequential improvement and are expected to return to growth by Q4 or early next fiscal year.
This underpins Micron's DRAM business, which includes data center memory (over 50% of Q3 revenue) and high-bandwidth memory (HBM). HBM sales jumped more than 50% sequentially in Q3, driving overall data center revenue to more than double, and the company's guidance remains strong.
Micron forecasts a "high-30%" growth rate for its data center business, a pace analysts expect it to exceed.
Analyst sentiment is robust. According to MarketBeat data, over 90% of analysts covering Micron have raised their quarterly revenue and earnings forecasts, setting a high bar for results. As of mid-August, consensus estimates exceed the company's guidance, suggesting another beat-and-raise cycle that could act as a bullish catalyst.
On the price-target front, MarketBeat tracks 26 analysts with current ratings. Many refreshed their views after the Q3 release, issuing upgrades, revising targets upward, and strengthening their outlook. The consensus implies roughly 15% upside ahead of the Q4 report, with the high-end range adding another 35%. Analysts cite strong volume and pricing trends, a favorable demand-to-inventory balance, and expectations for sustained improvement.
Micron Stock Is Poised to Move Higher
Mid-August price action reaffirms the rebound and uptrend that began in April and accelerated after the Q3 results. The stock appears set to challenge its long-term highs, potentially launching another sustained advance.
In a near-term scenario, MU could gain about $20, and over $60 in a longer-term rally—pushing the share price into the $150–$190 range. That would place Micron near record highs, at the upper end of analysts' target spectrum.
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