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Father's Day Investing: 3 Stocks Built for Long-Term Returns
By Chris Markoch. Published: 6/16/2026.
Key Points
- Stanley Black & Decker combines recovery potential with 58 consecutive years of dividend growth.
- Home Depot may benefit from lower rates, improving housing activity, and a growing dividend.
- YETI's brand strength and aggressive share buybacks could create long-term shareholder value.
- Special Report: The company SpaceX cannot operate without
This year, Father’s Day arrives at a time when it appears the long-awaited sector rotation may finally be taking shape. But the story could get even better. Investors are always looking ahead, and the outlook for the economy is starting to look much stronger in the second half of the year.
That could mean we’ll see money rotate into stocks and sectors that have been overlooked in the artificial intelligence trade. For gift ideas that go beyond a single day on the calendar, here are three stocks that make great ideas for dads who also like to invest.
A Recovery Story Still in Progress
Understanding what Trump just did (Ad)
Porter Stansberry, founder of one of the largest financial research firms in the world, says he's breaking the biggest story of his 26-year career - an economic shift not seen since 1776.
From the government taking stakes in Intel, Lithium Americas, and MP Materials, to sweeping political changes reshaping the economy, Stansberry argues a rare 'New 1776 Moment' is already underway. One Nobel Prize winner calls it a dividing line for all of society.
His presentation covers the stocks to buy, the stocks to sell, and three money moves to position yourself on the right side of this shift.
Watch Porter Stansberry's full briefing and learn how to prepare nowInfrastructure means hammers and nails, as well as servers and semiconductors. That’s been showing up in the performance of Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE: SWK). The stock is up 15% in 2026 as of this writing. That’s evidence of the recovery in industrial stocks, which has been one of the top sectors outside of technology.
SWK is within about 2% of its consensus price target, but there may still be more upside ahead. The latest quarter showed that the company’s performance was uneven depending on the category. For example, organic revenue in its Tools & Outdoor business unit, home of the CRAFTSMAN brand, was 1% lower.
To that end, Stanley Black & Decker is leaning into Father’s Day and the CRAFTSMAN brand. Its Longest Day Build Hub features DIY experts sharing outdoor projects to help create a more functional, family-friendly outdoor space. It also offers special offers on CRAFTSMAN products.
The larger catalyst may be the company's intentional efforts to reduce its supply chain's exposure to China. Analysts forecast earnings growth of about 15% over the next 12 months. That may not be fully priced into the stock, which has delivered a negative total return of 50% over the last five years.
That’s despite the company’s dividend. Stanley Black & Decker is a dividend king that has increased its dividend for 58 consecutive years.
The Housing Coil Keeps Tightening
Many DIY dads are frequent visitors to Home Depot (NYSE: HD). But that hasn’t shown up in the company’s stock performance. Home Depot has struggled amid a tight housing market as consumers have put off major renovations. Over the last five years, investors have received a total return of around 8%. That’s far below the broader market and the company’s own history.
But HD is showing signs of recovery. The stock is still down slightly in 2026, but it is up more than 10% over the past 30 days. Analysts echo that optimism with a consensus price target of $371.71, implying more than 10% upside.
Some of that optimism may be fueled by hopes for interest rate cuts that could unlock a frozen housing market. But it could also reflect the idea that the consumer remains resilient, which could show up in areas like paint and hardware. Lower fuel prices, which could reduce commodity costs, may also support growth.
Plus, despite the stock’s uneven five-year performance, the dividend has continued to grow. As of this writing, Home Depot pays out $9.32 per share on an annual basis, has increased the dividend for 16 consecutive years, and has a dividend history that goes back 40 years.
A Premium Brand Playing the Long Game
YETI Holdings (NYSE: YETI) is an example of continued demand in the premium market. But even premium brands are having a difficult time passing along price hikes. The company’s Q1 2026 earnings report showed that year-over-year (YOY) revenue growth is still continuing.
That’s not the sign of a brand with weakening demand. And just in time for Father’s Day and the Fourth of July, the company has restocked its Fire Pit Grill Kit, one of the brand’s top sellers.
But that YOY growth isn’t showing up on the bottom line. YETI beat estimates for adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 17 cents by 9 cents. That better-than-expected result, however, was still 16% lower on a YOY basis. The company’s margin pressure is due to tariffs, which it believes will soften in the second half of 2026 as YOY comparisons normalize.
Unlike the other two names on this list, YETI doesn’t pay a dividend. That’s a factor to weigh, especially for a stock that’s delivered a negative total return of over 45% in the last five years. However, YETI isn’t completely dismissing shareholder returns. The company recently expanded its share repurchase program, which still had $500 million available as of May 14, 2026. That’s one indication that management believes the stock may be undervalued.
Oil Could Dip, But These 3 Energy Stocks Still Look Built to Win
By Chris Markoch. Published: 6/15/2026.
Key Points
- EOG Resources' low breakeven costs and strong balance sheet make it resilient even if crude prices decline.
- Williams Companies generates largely fee-based revenue that is insulated from fluctuations in oil prices.
- Chord Energy's flexible dividend and buyback strategy allows it to return capital while adapting to changing commodity markets.
- Special Report: The company SpaceX cannot operate without
Investing in energy stocks right now is a confidence test. WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude has pulled back from recent highs, and several macroeconomic and geopolitical factors are causing investors to question the future of global demand, including:
Restricted traffic in the Strait of Hormuz
-
Understanding what Trump just did (Ad)
Porter Stansberry, founder of one of the largest financial research firms in the world, says he's breaking the biggest story of his 26-year career - an economic shift not seen since 1776.
From the government taking stakes in Intel, Lithium Americas, and MP Materials, to sweeping political changes reshaping the economy, Stansberry argues a rare 'New 1776 Moment' is already underway. One Nobel Prize winner calls it a dividing line for all of society.
His presentation covers the stocks to buy, the stocks to sell, and three money moves to position yourself on the right side of this shift.
Watch Porter Stansberry's full briefing and learn how to prepare nowSlower Chinese industrial activity
The lagged effect of rate policy
Potential OPEC supply decisions
All of this is making oil investors more cautious, which is understandable. But it misses the point when applied uniformly to the sector.
The names worth owning into a potential price dip aren't the ones that need $80 crude to generate returns. They're the ones with cost structures, revenue models, and balance sheets that hold up at $65 or lower.
That’s the case with these companies. One is a low-breakeven producer with proven capital-return discipline, one is a fee-based midstream operator that barely notices commodity prices, and one is a Williston Basin pure-play that built its dividend structure to self-adjust when oil softens.
The Benchmark for Low-Breakeven Discipline
EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG) is the first name energy analysts look at when the commodity outlook gets uncertain. The company has spent the better part of a decade building one of the lowest-cost production profiles among large-cap U.S. upstream (i.e., exploration and production) operators.
EOG hammered that point home in its Q1 2026 earnings report. Net income grew to $1.98 billion, operating cash flow reached $2.97 billion, and total production jumped to 124.5 million barrels of oil equivalent, which was well above the prior year's 98.1 million. Revenue climbed 22% to $6.92 billion.
Plus, EOG returned nearly $950 million to shareholders during the quarter through its regular dividend and share repurchases, closed the period with $3.85 billion in cash, and maintained a debt-to-total-capitalization ratio of just 20% against an undrawn $3 billion credit facility.
EOG is holding its full-year capital budget flat at $6.5 billion while raising oil production guidance. Between Q1 2022 and Q1 2026, the company added nearly 100,000 barrels per day of oil production while returning approximately $20 billion to shareholders and generating an average return on capital employed of 27%.
Most importantly, the company cited a program-level breakeven oil price below $50 WTI. That means if WTI dips to $65, EOG doesn't cut the dividend that currently pays out $4.08 per share annually, or draw down its credit line. Instead, it adjusts the pace of activity, deploys cash from the fortress balance sheet, and waits. That's exactly what makes it the anchor energy holding in a commodity-uncertain environment.
Oil Price Is Mostly Noise
Williams Companies (NYSE: WMB) is not a traditional oil company; it’s positioned as a midstream energy infrastructure business. Specifically, WMB operates the Transco pipeline system, the largest natural gas pipeline in North America. The company also has extensive gathering, processing, and storage assets that work together to transport approximately 30% of the nation's natural gas. The revenue model is predominantly fee-based.
This business model was on display in the company’s Q1 2026 earnings report. Adjusted EBITDA hit a record $2.254 billion, up 13% year-over-year. GAAP net income rose 25% to $864 million. Available funds from operations grew 22% to $1.77 billion.
The growth came from Transco expansion projects, higher storage revenues, new deepwater Gulf volumes (up more than 60% in EBITDA contribution), and natural gas storage performance up 35%. These growth drivers don't rely on a specific oil price.
The growth backlog adds a second layer. For example, Williams recently signed a $2.3 billion agreement for Neo, a behind-the-meter power project with 682 megawatts of installed capacity. Fee-generating contracts like these are backed by long-dated cash flow certainty, no matter what happens to the price of crude oil.
The Variable Dividend Structure That Does the Heavy Lifting
Chord Energy Corp. (NASDAQ: CHRD) is a midcap exploration & production company with a compelling return structure. The company pays a fixed base dividend of $1.30 per share per quarter. It then layers variable dividends and buybacks on top when free cash flow supports it.
When oil softens, the variable component shrinks. When oil runs, shareholders capture the upside. The base dividend is calibrated to a share price that doesn't require elevated WTI to sustain.
In a $65 WTI world, Chord's base dividend likely holds; the variable component steps back, and buybacks moderate. The balance sheet absorbs the adjustment.
The company’s Q1 earnings report was operationally strong. Average production reached 275,615 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with crude oil at 158,027 Bopd.
Operating cash flow was $507.5 million, funding $344.9 million of capital spending and generating $324 million in adjusted free cash flow. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $4.56, ahead of estimates.
Management raised full-year oil production guidance to 160,000–162,000 barrels per day while holding CapEx flat. Where that production takes place is a key part of the story. The Williston Basin acreage is high-quality by any measure. Bakken wells in Chord's core operate at breakeven oil prices well below current levels. The $1 billion share repurchase authorization is an additional capital return tool that management activated with $70.7 million in repurchases in Q1.
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