Friday, August 29, 2025

Trump tariffs ruled illegal

Bloomberg Evening Briefing Americas
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In a dramatic ruling on the Friday afternoon before Labor Day weekend, most of President Donald Trump's global tariffs were declared illegal by a US appeals court that found he exceeded his authority in imposing them.

A panel of judges in Washington upheld an earlier ruling by the Court of International Trade that Trump wrongfully invoked an emergency law to issue the levies. But the appellate judges sent the case back to the lower court to determine if it applied to everyone affected by tariffs or just the parties involved in the case.

In the meantime, the levies were allowed to remain in place as the litigation proceeds. The case will almost certainly end up before the US Supreme Court. David E. Rovella

What You Need to Know Today

US consumers are increasingly fearful of the looming consequences of Trump's tariff campaign as well as rising inflation and the overall outlook for the economy. A University of Michigan survey released Friday indicated consumers expect prices to rise at an annual rate of 4.8% over the next year, up from 4.5% last month. They saw costs rising at an annual rate of 3.5% over the next five to 10 years. 

The figures underscore continuing consumer anxiety about employment prospects and business conditions. About 63% of consumers expect unemployment to rise in the year ahead, an increase from the prior month and well above the same month in 2024. 

The Trump administration meanwhile issued more upbeat data for a second day in a row. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, a division of the US Department of Commerce, consumer spending remained resilient in July, rising by the most in four months.

Economists anticipate higher goods prices to put pressure on inflation in coming months. For now, the US continues to spend, according to the government, but it's unclear how long that momentum will last amid rising prices and a weakening job market.

Questions about whether Trump had cause to try to push out Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook or whether he is seeking to fire the first Black woman ever appointed to the post on a pretext dominated a court hearing Friday. US District Judge Jia Cobb peppered lawyers for Cook and Trump for about two hours before ending the proceeding without ruling on Cook's request for a temporary order blocking Trump's effort to oust her. The judge didn't indicate which way she is leaning in what's likely to be a landmark case that could determine the future of Fed independence.

The president has repeatedly attacked the central bank for not lowering interest rates and has threatened to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. His aides have accused Cook, who hasn't been charged with a crime, of mortgage fraud. (Trump himself has been convicted of fraud in New York state court.) Her lawyer, Abbe Lowell, said such allegations have become a "weapon of choice" for Trump as he seeks to remove officials whom he views as obstacles to his agenda. Trump's motive, he argued, signaled he didn't have the necessary cause to fire Cook.

An attorney for Trump argued Cook's failure to explain alleged mortgage discrepancies suggests she did something wrong and supports Trump's right to remove her for cause. As part of her lawsuit, Cook suggested that an unintentional "clerical error" may have been behind the mortgage filling.


Markets Wrap
Wall Street Gets Hit by Tech Stock Rout
Traders drove stocks lower amid a selloff in shares that have powered the surge from April's tariff-induced meltdown.

The Canadian economy contracted for the first time in almost two years as the US trade war pummeled what's historically been one of its closest allies. Canada's gross domestic product shrank at a 1.6% annualized pace in the second quarter, the biggest decline since the Covid-19 pandemic. While roughly in line with the Bank of Canada's forecasts, it's worse than was expected in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

The US is Canada's largest trading partner. Exports fell 27% on an annualized basis as Trump's tariffs on Canadian goods shattered the country's shipments abroad. That more than reversed a temporary first-quarter boost in trade activity that was driven by shippers trying to front-run the tariff barrage. Imports declined 5.1%. Business investment contracted 10.1% after rising just 1.1% in the first quarter, highlighting the mounting pessimism facing Canadian firms.


German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron called for secondary sanctions aimed at undermining Russia's war machine, increasing pressure on Moscow to end its attacks on Ukraine. To hamper Russia's abilities to raise money from oil sales, Europe's two biggest economies will push for measures targeting "companies from third countries that support Russia's war," according to a joint statement on Friday after a meeting of German and French cabinet members.

"We will continue to exert pressure for additional sanctions to be imposed by ourselves—and we are prepared to do so—but also by the US, to force Russia to return to the negotiating table," Macron said alongside Merz at a press conference at Fort du Cap Brun near the Mediterranean port city of Toulon.


Real Estate
Bad Mortgage Loans in Baltimore Send Wall Street a Warning
Private mortgage lenders with the backing of Wall Street's biggest names are facing an unsettling reality: Their breakneck growth has made them increasingly vulnerable.

Trump asked Congress to claw back nearly $5 billion in already-approved foreign aid spending, a proposal timed to take advantage of the looming end of the fiscal year. The timing theoretically allows him to cut the funding himself if lawmakers fail to act by the close of September.

The maneuver challenges Congress' spending powers under the Constitution and intensifies an already contentious battle over government funding, which is due to lapse Sept. 30. Democrats are sure to seek guarantees Trump will actually spend money lawmakers appropriate in exchange for their votes to keep the government open.

The proposed cuts include $3.2 billion in US Agency for International Development assistance. Trump's effective shuttering of the agency, which provided health and humanitarian aid all over the world, has been estimated by researchers to have already resulted in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people who would have otherwise lived with the assistance of US funding.


Transportation
Spirit Airlines Files Second Bankruptcy in Less Than One Year
Spirit sought court protection again after failing to turn its business around.

What You'll Need to Know Tomorrow

Washington DC
Parents Mobilize to Protect School Children Amid Armed Soldiers and Agents
Gaza War
Norway Leader Rebukes US Senator's Criticism of $2 Trillion Fund
Finance
Morgan Stanley Asks Fed to Cut Capital Requirement
Mexico
Banxico Upwardly Revises 2025 Growth Forecast to 0.6%
Rates
Fed's Daly Signals Openness to Interest-Rate Cut in September
Asia
Samsung, SK Hynix Lose US Waiver on Chip Gear for China Use
Transportation
How the TSA Is Set to Change Your Walk Through Airport Security

For Your Commute

Open for Business
New Zealand Considers Relaxing Home-Buying Ban for Rich Foreigners
New Zealand is considering letting some wealthy foreigners buy luxury homes, creating an exemption to the current ban on overseas buyers as it seeks to attract more high-net-worth investors.

The Aug. 28 edition of the Evening Briefing Americas incorrectly identified the date of the most recent record market close. We regret the error.

The Evening Briefing Americas will return on Tuesday, Sept. 2.

Bloomberg Power Players: Join us in New York on Sept. 4. Set against the backdrop of the US Open Tennis Championships, we'll bring together influential voices from the business of sports to identify the next wave of disruption that could hit this multitrillion-dollar global industry. Learn more.

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