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Something extraordinary is happening in Washington.
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Additional Reading from MarketBeat.com Cocoa Futures Send Hershey Stock Lower, Dip Opportunity?Written by Gabriel Osorio-Mazilli. Published 8/17/2025. 
Key Points - Cocoa futures rose to send Hershey stock lower on the assumption of higher costs, though financials reflect a resilient business with more upside.
- The financial cycle is at the lower end of the spectrum, but it is still impressive for Hershey compared to its peers.
- Institutional buyers see this cyclicality as an opportunity to lock in double-digit upside rates for the future.
Trading focuses on short-term price swings that may not last, while investing uses these fluctuations to identify buying opportunities, assuming that great businesses will eventually return to their long-term growth trajectories. Investors now have a chance to buy into a consumer-staples name after traders enjoyed a short-term pullback. Shares of Hershey Co. (NYSE: HSY) fell 2.2% last week as cocoa prices jumped roughly 20% over the past month, driven by supply-and-demand shifts. The cocoa bump squeezes margins at the chocolatier, prompting traders to profit from the stock's pullback. Long-term investors, however, can view this as a temporary headwind faced by the entire industry. Given Hershey's scale, strong market share and pricing power, the company is well-positioned to weather higher raw-material costs and emerge stronger. This recent dip may offer patient investors an attractive entry point in a fundamentally solid business. 3 Metrics to Watch in Hershey Stock Hershey has navigated similar cost-driven cycles before. Below are three key metrics to assess its financial resilience: 1. Gross Profit Margin: At 40.1%, Hershey's gross margin reflects the strength of its brand moat and pricing power, even after absorbing higher cocoa costs. 2. Net Income Margin: With a trailing net margin of 13.5%, Hershey demonstrates ongoing profitability despite elevated input costs. That compares to its long-term average of roughly 17%, indicating room for margin expansion as cocoa prices normalize. 3. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC): At 19.3%, Hershey outpaces most U.S. companies and highlights its ability to generate robust returns and compound value over time. Historically, its average ROIC is nearer 25%, suggesting potential upside as fundamentals recover. The Future Is Bright for Hershey Stock Over the long haul, stock returns tend to mirror a company's ROIC, meaning Hershey's strong capital efficiency positions it for above-average shareholder returns. Today's share price sits roughly 15% below its 52-week high, reflecting the trough of its fundamental cycle. Although the current consensus remains a Reduce rating with an average price target of $168.80—implying about 6.3% downside—a shift in sentiment is underway. Barclays analyst Andrew Lazar recently initiated an Equal Weight rating with a $190 target, signaling 5.5% upside. Similarly, DA Davidson's Brian Holland assigns a Neutral rating and $188 target, suggesting 4.4% rally potential. Institutional investors have also begun to step in. Vanguard Group increased its Hershey holdings by 1.1% through early August 2025, now owning $3.1 billion or 9.3% of outstanding shares. Charles Schwab Investment Management boosted its position by 2.5%, bringing its stake to $849.1 million. With the cocoa-price headwind largely priced in, patient investors may find this an opportune time to add a stake in Hershey ahead of a potential margin recovery and share-price rebound.
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