Wednesday, October 2, 2024

Helene upends voting

Also, Vance and Walz spar on climate |

As historic floodwaters unleashed by Hurricane Helene recede across the US Southeast, the region faces a humanitarian, economic and ecological crisis of staggering scope, with effects likely to last years.

The devastation has opened up a small opportunity for the Harris and Trump campaigns to find mutual agreement, as was demonstrated in the vice presidential debate last night. Still, the storm has also created a host of logistical issues for voting in the US election. Read on for more — and get the full story on Bloomberg.com. 

Helene enters the debate 

By Jennifer A Dlouhy and Ari Natter

For a few moments Tuesday night, the men vying to be the next US vice president found common ground. Both Republican JD Vance and Democrat Tim Walz agreed that Hurricane Helene, which has killed more than 150 people and left a trail of death and devastation across the Southeast US, was a horrible tragedy.

The storm brought floodwaters to mountain towns and inland fields far from the nation's coasts, underscoring the immediacy of the climate crisis.

"People are justifiably worried about all these crazy weather patterns," Vance said.

Senator JD Vance and Governor Tim Walz. Photographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg

But the similarities ended there. Vance, who in 2020 was definitive in acknowledging we "of course have a climate problem," on Tuesday borrowed a page from Donald Trump's playbook by raising questions about the cause of the threat. There's a lot of talk about "this idea that carbon emissions drives all the climate change," Vance said, before positing: "Let's just say that's true — just for the sake of argument, so we're not just arguing about weird science."

It was a blunt reminder of the chasm between the Republican and Democratic presidential tickets, when it comes to the climate crisis. Donald Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, has vowed to claw back investments in what he calls Washington's "green new scam" while mocking wind turbines and electric vehicles.

Read More: Pollution, Wind, EVs: Trump Risks Upending Biden's Climate Work

Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, is largely expected to continue the trajectory charted by President Joe Biden, using a combination of federal incentives and regulations to encourage clean energy deployment and slash greenhouse gas emissions.

Walz called out Trump for calling climate change a "hoax" and lauded the Biden-Harris administration for spurring what he called "massive investments, the biggest in global history" in clean energy production and manufacturing.

Farmers in Minnesota already get it, Walz said: "My farmers in Minnesota know climate change is real. They've seen 500-year droughts, 500-year floods, back to back." But, he added: "Our No. 1 export cannot be topsoil from erosion from these massive storms."

The view from the hardest hit battleground state 

By Zahra Hirji

The unprecedented flooding caused by Hurricane Helene as it barreled into western North Carolina, washing away homes, roads and entire towns, is already disrupting voting there and injecting new uncertainty into the state's high-stakes elections.

Many of the deaths linked to Helene were in North Carolina's Buncombe County, home to the city of Asheville. With the status of polling places in the region unclear and thousands of residents displaced.

"There may be polling places affected by mudslides. There may be polling places inaccessible because of damaged roads. There may be polling places with trees that have fallen on them," said Karen Brinson Bell, executive director of the North Carolina State Board of Elections, in a call with reporters on Tuesday.

A family removes items from their home in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene in Old Fort, North Carolina, on Sept. 30. Photographer: Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty Images

It's not just election day voting that's a concern. Some 250,000 absentee ballot requests have been made across the state, with roughly 10,000 just in the Asheville region, according to Bob Phillips, executive director of the nonpartisan nonprofit Common Cause North Carolina. Some of those ballots had only just been delivered or were in the mail when Helene rammed through.

A lot is at stake in the state's elections this year. North Carolina exerts outsized influence over who will end up in the White House. Nowhere is more of a toss-up: The latest polling shows Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump are effectively tied. And when catastrophe strikes, "it can cause voters to participate in elections at a lower rate," said Kevin Morris, a senior research fellow and voting policy scholar at New York University's Brennan Center for Justice. 

Yet past disasters in the US show election officials can get creative to help ensure this doesn't happen — from temporary voting sites to mobile polling stations. 

The question is whether state election officials and the legislature embrace this type of flexibility. If they don't, Republicans may have more to lose, Phillips noted: 23 of the 25 counties hit hardest by the storm and designated to get federal disaster assistance are overwhelmingly Republican and voted for Trump in 2020.

Read the full story here — and for unlimited access to climate and energy news, please subscribe.

The rising toll 

$7 billion 
This is how much crop losses could trigger in insurance payouts due to Helene, according to estimates from a US Department of Agriculture official on Tuesday.

Hurricane fuel

"I don't know if something has changed in terms of steering, but the Gulf is unnaturally warm due to climate change."
Ryan Truchelut
President of commercial forecaster WeatherTiger LLC
While it's not clear which atmospheric conditions have been directing more storms into western Florida in recent years, the Gulf of Mexico has gotten warmer, providing fuel for tropical systems.

Also on our radar

Typhoon Krathon tracked slowly toward Taiwan, with the storm set to weaken before making landfall on Thursday morning and potentially keep the island's $2.5 trillion stock market closed for a second day.

Krathon currently has maximum sustained winds of 162 kilometers (101 miles) per hour, according to Taiwan's Central Weather Administration. The storm is expected to cross the coast between the cities of Tainan and Kaohsiung.

The typhoon has weakened on its approach, and the weather bureau forecasts it will have maximum wind speeds of 119 kilometers per hour as it hits the coast, dumping heavy rain. That will make it equivalent to a Category 1 hurricane on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale.

Keep up to date with the latest news on Bloomberg.com.

Passengers at Taiwan's Taoyuan international airport after flights were cancelled on Oct. 2. Photographer: Tommy Wang/AFP/Getty Images

More from Green

The travel industry is once again being forced to curb its climate friendly marketing. The Dutch Advertising Code Committee announced on Wednesday that it told MSC Cruises it must drop some green claims in its advertisements in the Netherlands after environmental campaigners complained that its ads amount to greenwashing.

MSC Cruises should no longer make claims that it "is making great strides to be net zero by 2050" or that liquefied natural gas is a clean shipping fuel, according to a Sept. 30 verdict by the Dutch Advertising Code Committee. Bloomberg Green has previously reported about the invisible climate impacts from cruise operators switching to LNG-powered vessels.

Earlier this year, an Amsterdam court ruled that Dutch airline KLM misled customers through advertisements that suggested its flights are climate friendly. In the UK, the advertising watchdog has also cracked down on airlines' sustainability claims.

An MSC Cruises ship at the Port of Barcelona in Spain. Photographer: Angel Garcia/Bloomberg

Worth a listen

Scientists have been trying to understand — and mimic — the way the sun produces energy for centuries. But recreating the energy-generating process of nuclear fusion here on Earth presents an array of technical challenges. Bob Mumgaard, CEO of Commonwealth Fusion Systems, began working on some of those challenges as a doctoral student at MIT. Now backed by more than $2 billion, CFS is well on its way to making the long-held dream of nuclear fusion a reality. On the latest episode of Zero, Mumgaard breaks down the science behind CFS's bagel-shaped tokamak reactor, and explains why he believes the nuclear fusion industry is just getting started. Listen now, and subscribe on Apple,  Spotify, or YouTube to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday.

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