| A global contest for influence is gathering pace. It's at the root of German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's trip to Kenya and Ethiopia this week in a continuation of his tour of the "Global South." He's made the rise of a multipolar world a theme of his chancellorship and is reaching out to nations he sees as important swing states. Scholz is far from the only one. The world is fragmenting as a result of the US-China geopolitical rivalry, with each side and its respective allies seeking to bring non-aligned states on board and set the narrative. So Washington and fellow Group of Seven members such as Germany are attempting to counter China's success in building infrastructure projects across Africa through President Xi Jinping's Belt and Road Initiative. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, the current G-7 chair, is meanwhile touring Egypt, Ghana, Kenya and Mozambique. They're also seeking to correct Moscow's claims that economic sanctions and not Russia's invasion of Ukraine are responsible for grain shortages and fuel-price inflation that have hit poorer countries in Africa, the Middle East and Latin America especially hard. Russia's war on Ukraine is the key dividing line, with large economies including Brazil and South Africa unwilling to accept the US and European apportioning of blame solely on Moscow and refusing to go along with the G-7 in sanctioning Russia for its aggression. Venezuela is another arena for the great power competition, as evidence emerges that China is re-engaging with Caracas after years of cooling ties, Patricia Laya and Fabiola Zerpa report. Venezuela, whose ability to export its massive oil reserves has been crippled by US-led sanctions, was the subject of outreach from Washington last year as President Joe Biden's administration sought to bring more crude to market to tamp down inflation. Now it appears to be turning back to China. The struggle for global sway is just beginning. As Scholz and the US are finding, the outcome is far from certain. — Alan Crawford |
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