Tuesday, April 18, 2023

Supply Lines: US importers head east

Fresh data out Monday laid bare how importers have shifted their preferred destinations for cargo to ports on the US East Coast, favoring th

Fresh data out Monday laid bare how importers have shifted their preferred destinations for cargo to ports on the US East Coast, favoring them over the traditional powerhouses on western shores.

As of April 11, only 36% of imported goods arrived through West Coast ports, the smallest proportion since at least mid-2021 and down from 42% in the second half of 2022, according to Chicago-based FourKites, a logistics-visibility platform. In four of the previous six months, West Coast ports have moved less than 40% of import volumes.

While inbound cargo volumes have declined at all US ports since the fourth quarter of last year, West Coast operations have seen a bigger drop-off as importers seek to avoid a repeat of pandemic-era delays and protracted labor-contract talks that saw labor disruptions earlier in April at the Los Angeles and Long Beach complex — the busiest in the US.

Though work on the docks has largely continued without issue since the contract expired on July 1, recent labor shortages and slowdowns at the two largest West Coast ports have caused alarm among importers that were already diverting some of their goods to terminals in the East and Gulf.

Dwell times — or the number of days that containers sit on docks awaiting either trucks or trains to move them — have fallen significantly at the West Coast hubs despite the labor issues, with a 28-day average for import dwell time of 4.8 days, according to FourKites. The measure of delays fell more at East Coast ports to 3.3 days in the same period.

"The US West Coast has long been a strategic artery for global imports, but with constant bottlenecks, delays and lingering labor disputes, supply chains are relying on risk aversion instead of rolling the dice," said  Glenn Koepke, the general manager of FourKites' network collaboration.

The labor issues are proving to be minor inconveniences more than they are severe disruptions, and West Coast volumes will steadily rise to become balanced with the East Coast in the middle of the third quarter, when retailers and importers gear up for the holiday season, he said.

Still, the infrastructure investments and performance of the East Coast will create more competition for LA-Long Beach, which will help achieve longer-term stability and reliability, according to Koepke.

European Cargo Shifts

Meanwhile, cargo flowing through some parts of northern Europe are still suffering from Russia's war in Ukraine and a soft economy.

The Port of Antwerp-Bruges said throughput totaled 68.7 million metric tons in the first quarter, down 4.5% from the year-earlier period.

"This decline is due to the still complex geopolitical and macroeconomic context, which has led to a decline in the container segment and significant shifts in cargo flows," the Belgian port said in a recent report.

Read more: 

Laura Curtis in Los Angeles

Charted Territory

Short list | Only 10 electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles will qualify for $7,500 federal tax credits in the US after stricter battery-sourcing rules take effect and render most plug-in models ineligible. General Motors, Tesla and Ford all have at least one EV that will qualify, while Ford and Stellantis each have one eligible plug-in hybrid model. No other automakers will have a vehicle for sale that fully meets the criteria that was finalized last month and will kick in on Tuesday, according to the Treasury Department. The requirements included in the Democrats' marquee climate law — the Inflation Reduction Act — will roughly halve the number of vehicles that can receive the full tax credit relative to how many were eligible during the first few months of the year, when Treasury was finalizing its guidance for meeting the rules. Seven additional vehicles made by Tesla, Ford and Stellantis will qualify for half credits, meaning $3,750 will be available to eligible consumers.

Today's Must Reads

  • Security nightmare | Ransomware attacks and hacking incidents have spiked in Japan, and in a nation that exported chip components worth $42.3 billion last year — dominating the supply of some materials — supply-chain issues can have global implications.
  • Fire warning | Bangladesh's garment factories, a key source of foreign exchange for the South Asian nation, face the heightened risk of fires as summer temperatures soar, an industry lobby group warned.
  •  New sedan | Volkswagen's namesake brand is unveiling its first fully electric sedan as the German carmaker struggles to move past software setbacks that have hurt sales. Meanwhile, Indonesia is urging Volkswagen to invest in its electric vehicle industry as the country seeks to counterbalance Chinese companies' dominance over its nickel reserves.
  • New blockages | Ukraine's crop exports are being threatened again, with Black Sea shipments halting just as some of its European Union neighbors stop allowing imports of its cargoes.
  • New attitude | BMW has adopted "a completely new approach" to supply chain management as a result of Covid.
  • Renewables conflict | The Pentagon is sounding alarms over Biden administration plans to advance offshore wind projects along the central Atlantic US coast, warning that almost all of the new terrain eyed for development conflicts with military operations. 

On the Bloomberg Terminal

  • Demand dip | Relative demand in North America's spot trucking market loosened in the week ended April 14, with a 4.9% drop in Truckstop's Market Demand Index. The spot market may reach a bottom at some point this quarter, with a potential rebound in the second half, setting up a better environment for contract rates, Bloomberg Intelligence says. 
  • Struck down | The World Trade Organization said India violated international trade rules when it imposed tariffs on imports of mobile phones, headphones and an array of other technology products.
  • Run SPLC after an equity ticker on Bloomberg to show critical data about a company's suppliers, customers and peers.
  • Use the AHOY function to track global commodities trade flows.
  • Click HERE for automated stories about supply chains.
  • On the Bloomberg Terminal, type NH FWV for FreightWaves content.
  • See BNEF for BloombergNEF's analysis of clean energy, advanced transport, digital industry, innovative materials, and commodities.

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