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Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven’t yet, sign up here. Iran’s new supreme leader faces a momentous decision over whether to accept an interim peace deal with the US. Mojtaba Khamenei came to power in March after his long-standing predecessor and father, Ali, was killed in US-Israeli strikes on the first day of the Iran war. Injured in that attack, which also killed his wife and son, Khamenei hasn’t been seen in public since. Yet Iran’s government has been keen to show the 56-year-old is the one with the final say over major state matters. US President Donald Trump is under pressure from Iran hawks not to agree to a deal that would likely extend the countries’ ceasefire by one or two months, with Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz and Washington lifting its blockade of Iranian ports.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks to reporters on the progress of a deal with Iran.
While there’s been progress toward an agreement in recent days, Trump said yesterday he won’t rush it. Khamenei, similarly, will be weighing whether to keep the strait closed for longer, thus squeezing the US and its allies economically by ensuring energy prices stay high, or accepting an accord that may unfreeze billions of dollars of Iranian assets. If both leaders decide to take a deal, their negotiators will then begin wider — and highly complicated — talks about curbing Iran’s nuclear program. Iran has plenty of incentives to end a war that has battered its military and a blockade that is causing severe economic pain by forcing oil-production cuts and pushing up inflation. At the same time, Tehran retains plenty of firepower and has shown it can still hit neighboring Arab states and ships around the Hormuz strait. Given the level of mistrust toward the US within Iran, it’s possible Khamenei holds out for terms Trump won’t accept and pushes the sides into a new round of hostilities. — Paul Wallace
A portrait of Mojtaba Khamenei in Tehran.
Photographer: Majid Saeedi/Getty Images
Global Must ReadsEbola may have killed more than 200 people so far in Democratic Republic of Congo, where violence, mistrust and overwhelmed surveillance systems are straining efforts to contain the virus in the country’s conflict-hit east. The central African country suspended flights to the eastern city of Bunia and regional health ministers warned of escalating cross-border risks as the outbreak overwhelmed contact-tracing efforts.
A health worker conducts a temperature screening in Goma, eastern Congo, yesterday.
Photographer: Daniel Buuma/Getty Images
Britain will have to wait weeks, if not months, for confirmation that it’s getting a new prime minister and the gears of government are starting to slow as the political drama plays out in Westminster. The leadership crisis around Keir Starmer has renewed a debate over how the British government should raise revenue, and given those on the left of the ruling Labour party confidence to promote their pet cause: wealth taxes. Turkish police entered the main opposition CHP party’s headquarters in Ankara using pepper spray, acting to seize control of the building after Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, the party’s court-appointed chairman, sought government support to oust rival Özgür Özel. After officers delivered an eviction notice, Özel tore up the document and vowed that “we are leaving to come back again.” Russia used a hypersonic Oreshnik ballistic missile during a massive air attack on Ukraine yesterday, targeting the city of Bila Tserkva south of Kyiv, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said. Kremlin forces fired 90 missiles and 600 drones at Kyiv and several other major cities, according to Ukraine’s Air Force, which said it shot down 55 of the missiles and 549 drones. Anti-government demonstrations and persistent roadblocks in Bolivia are testing the country’s transition to a democracy that’s open to the world economy, embattled President Rodrigo Paz said in a Bloomberg TV interview. Paz is pressing for dialogue with protesters while deploying security forces to lift the blockades.
A protest in La Paz on May 18.
Photographer: Aizar Raldes/AFP/Getty Images
Trump’s upcoming medical examination ahead of his 80th birthday is intensifying health-related scrutiny that has surrounded him ever since his first campaign for the nation’s highest office more than a decade ago. Chinese leader Xi Jinping became vocal and agitated while criticizing Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi for her defense push during his summit with Trump in Beijing, the Financial Times reported. Senegal President Bassirou Diomaye Faye’s abrupt dismissal of Prime Minister Ousmane Sonko risks throwing the government’s stalled talks with the International Monetary Fund into deeper disarray. Pope Leo XIV warned world leaders not to use wars as a political tactic to distract voters from their domestic problems, in what may be seen as a further criticism of Trump. Sign up for the Washington Edition newsletter for news from the US capital and watch Balance of Power at 1 and 5 p.m. ET weekdays on Bloomberg Television. Chart of the Day
Chinese investors are rushing to find alternative ways to buy and sell overseas equities after Beijing launched its most forceful crackdown on illicit cross-border stock trading to stem capital outflows. An estimated $1 trillion of so-called hot money flowed out of the country last year — the biggest annual outflow since data began in 2006. And FinallySpain is gripped by the arrest and release on bail of Jonathan Andic, co-owner and vice chairman of the Mango fashion chain. The 45-year-old was questioned over the events surrounding the death of his father, Isak Andic, who fell in 2024 during a hike with his son in the Catalan mountains. Jonathan Andic has denied wrongdoing, but the arrest has renewed attention on the succession saga at one of the country’s best-known retailers.
Jonathan Andic arrives at a court near Barcelona on May 19.
Photographer: Lluis Gene/AFP/Getty Images
Thanks to everyone who answered Friday’s quiz question, and congratulations to Marc Weinberg, who was first to name Greenland as the geopolitical flashpoint whose US envoy told local media that he was there “to make friends.” More from Bloomberg
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Monday, May 25, 2026
Iran’s big decision
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