Monday, May 18, 2026

Iran tensions hit oil

Bloomberg Morning Briefing Americas  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌
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Good morning. Iran rattles markets again. SpaceX’s long-awaited IPO draws closer. And New York commuters face major rail disruption. Listen to the day’s top stories.

— Hellmuth Tromm

Market Snapshot
S&P 500 Futures 7,401.75 -0.4%
Nasdaq 100 Futures 29,132.00 -0.3%
WTI crude oil futures $106.36 +0.9%
Market data as of 06:28 AM ET. Data is subject to provider delays.

Iran is back at the center of global markets. Oil rose while stock futures declined as the war dragged on and a peace deal remained elusive, fanning inflation fears. Donald Trump warned Tehran the “clock is ticking,” hours after drones targeted a nuclear power plant in the United Arab Emirates.

Some prominent investors now fear the Federal Reserve is behind the curve. Market strategist Ed Yardeni said policymakers should abandon their easing bias, while DoubleLine’s Jeffrey Gundlach said “it’s just not possible” for the Fed to cut rates. Gold has struggled amid the bond rout, but Goldman predicts central-bank demand will help lift bullion later this year.

Despite an unpopular war and soaring gas prices, Trump showed his enduring grip on the GOP by helping oust Senator Bill Cassidy in Louisiana’s Republican primary. Cassidy, who voted to convict Trump in his second impeachment trial and opposed Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s health policies, finished last in a three-way race won by White House-backed Julia Letlow. The loss comes ahead of another high-profile Kentucky primary tomorrow, where Trump is backing efforts to unseat Representative Thomas Massie.

Long Island Rail Road riders are bracing for congested roads and packed buses, after a pay dispute triggered the first shutdown of the nation’s busiest commuter rail line in more than 30 years. The parties resumed negotiations Sunday afternoon as 3,500 engineers, electrical workers and signalmen walk off the job for the first time since 1994.

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Deep Dive: SpaceX’s Mega IPO

Elon Musk gives a tour to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and lawmakers of the control room before the launch of the sixth test flight of the SpaceX Starship rocket on November 19, 2024 in Brownsville, Texas. SpaceX’s billionaire owner, Elon Musk, a Trump confidante, has been tapped to lead the new Department of Government Efficiency alongside former presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy. Source: Brandon Bell/Getty Images/Getty Images
Elon Musk in the control room with Trump and US lawmakers before the launch of a Starship rocket test flight in November 2024.
Source: Brandon Bell/Getty Images

After three years of explosions, redesigns and technical upgrades, SpaceX’s mission-critical Starship is scheduled to launch its twelfth test flight as soon as this week. With the company’s IPO fast approaching, Elon Musk needs the rocket to perform as promised.

The Big Take

Illustration: Sergiy Maidukov for Bloomberg Illustration: Sergiy Maidukov for Bloomberg Photographer: Illustration: Sergiy Maidukov for Bloomberg
Illustration: Sergiy Maidukov for Bloomberg

Ukraine’s wartime industries have become dependent on a creditor with massive leverage. VR Capital built a powerful position in Ukrainian bonds, giving it enormous influence as companies central to the war effort try to restructure their debt.

Opinion

A British Airways passenger plane takes off from London Gatwick Airport in Crawley, West Sussex. Supplies of jet fuel from the Middle East have been disrupted since the US and Israel's war with Iran because of Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz , a critical international shipping route. Picture date: Tuesday May 12, 2026. (Photo by Gareth Fuller/PA Images via Getty Images) Photographer: Gareth Fuller - PA Images/PA Images
It’s not exactly clear skies for the airline industry.
Photographer: Gareth Fuller/PA Images

The war in Iran is squeezing airlines, but your summer vacations should still be fine, Javier Blas writes. Your fall trips may be a different story.

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Before You Go

Swatch x Audemars Piguet Royal Pop watches on display at a Swatch Group store in Times Square in New York.
Swatch x Audemars Piguet Royal Pop watches on display at a Swatch Group store in Times Square in New York.
Source: Bloomberg

Instant resale: €385 watches from the Audemars Piguet-Swatch collaboration quickly surfaced online for as much as €5,000 after crowds forced some Swatch stores to shut over safety concerns. The chaotic rollout has also drawn criticism from watch influencers. Check out the weekend buzz here.

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