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With Shares Near Highs, Here's to Watch in Broadcom's Q3 Report
Written by Leo Miller. Published 9/1/2025.
Key Points
- Broadcom's Q3 earnings report is fast approaching with shares trading near all-time high levels.
- See why Broadcom's risk looks elevated going into the report.
- Still, an upside move is possible. The firm will likely need big beats or big news to achieve this.
Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) has been one of the market's most talked-about names amid the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. Many point to ChatGPT's public debut in November 2022 as the moment AI entered the mainstream—and Broadcom's stock performance since then highlights its critical role in the space.
From November 30, 2022, through late August 2023, shares returned about 489%.
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With a market capitalization of roughly $1.45 trillion, Broadcom's quarterly earnings draw significant attention. The semiconductor leader is slated to report Q3 results on Sept. 4. Here are the key factors investors will be watching.
Broadcom Needs Big Beats to Extend Its Rally
Broadcom must meet or exceed consensus on revenue, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and deliver strong guidance to justify its lofty valuation. In Q2, management guided Q3 revenue to $15.8 billion—a year-over-year increase of 21%—and Wall Street forecasts are in line. MarketBeat models $15.82 billion in revenue and adjusted EPS of $1.66 (up 35%).
Yet modest beats may not spark another rally. For example, NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) topped sales and EPS estimates on Aug. 27, but its shares slipped the next day. Likewise, after Broadcom edged past Q2 estimates, its stock fell about 5%.
Since Broadcom's Q2 release on June 5, the shares have climbed nearly 26%, trading around $310—levels never seen before an earnings report. The forward price-to-earnings ratio now exceeds 42x, close to its all-time high of 43x. By comparison, NVIDIA entered its latest report with a forward P/E near 34x, roughly in line with its three-month average of 33x.
These metrics point to elevated downside risk heading into Q3. A significant beat, coupled with guidance hinting at roughly 25% revenue growth in Q4, would likely be required to extend the rally.
Key Drivers for Broadcom Stock
AI semiconductor revenue is the primary growth engine. Broadcom expects that segment to expand 60% in Q3, and investors will want to see the company hit or exceed that pace. Management has signaled this growth rate could be sustainable into 2026, so reaffirming that outlook will be critical.
Another potential catalyst could come from updates on its four prospective AI chip customers. Any clear indication that these prospects will convert to actual customers in 2026 or 2027 could expand Broadcom's serviceable addressable market (SAM). While management has said it likely won't update its SAM until 2026, it left open the possibility of an earlier revision—creating room for an upside surprise.
Broadcom's second-largest segment, infrastructure software, targets 16% growth in Q3. Last quarter, the company noted that 87% of its 10,000 largest VMware clients had adopted VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF). Investors will look for that adoption rate to continue rising.
Recent Price Targets Offset Q3 Risk
Since early July, MarketBeat has tracked eight updated Wall Street price targets on Broadcom, which average $326—implying modest upside from current levels. Those projections contrast with the MarketBeat consensus target of about $302, suggesting roughly 2% downside.
Broadcom's valuation points to greater downside risk ahead of Q3 earnings, but the recent wave of high price targets offers a bullish counterpoint. Ultimately, a substantial beat and confident forward guidance will be key to determining whether the stock can continue its climb.
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