Wednesday, July 2, 2025

From Apple to Tesla: The New Bull/Bear Divide in Mega-Caps

And the hottest sectors
 
   
     

Hot Sectors?
 
 
First, don’t miss today’s Daily Chart Setup trade idea down lower in this newsletter.

What sectors were hot in the 1st half and what sectors were not? Let's take a look and see what we think might be the best sectors for the whole year. 


Come join me as we dive in and see what’s moving! 

Plus, as always, we have stocks popping and dropping so come find out what is moving this morning as I look for stocks and do some live premarket analysis on SPX, SPY, NDX, QQQ, Russell, IWM and other stocks that are potential plays for the day. 

 
— — — 
 
From Apple to Tesla: The New Bull/Bear Divide in Mega-Caps

The market’s biggest stocks are no longer moving as one. While the S&P 500 grinds higher, a closer look under the hood reveals a sharp divergence playing out across the mega-cap space — and traders ignoring that split risk getting blindsided.

Apple (AAPL) just broke out of a triangle pattern and continues to climb despite broader market weakness. It has resistance ahead at $212–$213, and again near the $225 level. 

This flight to safety bid may extend the move, but it doesn’t necessarily mean Apple is bullish longer term. In fact, the chart suggests the opposite — a potential test of that upper resistance could mark the start of a deeper correction.

Amazon (AMZN), meanwhile, looks even weaker. Prime Day is approaching, but the stock hasn’t responded to the event the way it used to. With minimal sales data and a lack of follow-through, the setup looks soft. 

The chart suggests a move back to the $150 area is likely.


Mixed Messages From the Rest of the Pack

Google parent Alphabet (GOOG; GOOGL) is struggling with a clear double top near the 618 Fibonacci level, and a breakdown through the uptrend of lows could send it sharply lower toward $120. 

Meta (META) attempted a breakout and got rejected — another warning sign for big tech bulls. 

Microsoft (MSFT) could grind higher to $508, but any move below $468 opens the door to a more vicious decline.

Not every name is showing weakness... 

Nvidia (NVDA) remains strong and appears on track to hit the next upside target at $164. That’s one of the few clean charts left in the group. 

Tesla (TSLA), on the other hand, is threatening a bigger retrace. A move down to $276 looks likely, and weak Q2 delivery numbers could accelerate the drop.

This is no longer a one-trade market. Roughly 30% of the Nasdaq 100 is not participating in the rally, and even within the so-called winners, setups are diverging fast. 

If you’re still trading mega-caps as a single basket, it’s time to adjust — because the divide between bulls and bears is growing fast.

Now be sure to join me live at 9:15 a.m. ET for “Morning Monster,” my market-open livestream on YouTube!

 
 
‘Morning Monster’ Is Starting NOW!
I’m also live at 5 p.m. ET on Tuesdays for “30 Minutes of Awesome” — bring your ticker and I’ll analyze it in real time!

And be sure to hit that Subscribe button on my YouTube page!
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Today’s Daily Chart Setup: Williams Sonoma (WSM)  
 
 
 

This idea came directly from my Daily Chart Setup that automatically signals potential plays. 
 
WSM is a new potential entry. Target: 184.8 Stop below: 146.39
 
WSM has a historical win rate of 90.91%
 
WSM has a profit factor of 4.406
 
WSM trades last 66 trading days on average over 22 trades since 1983.

See the secret behind these signals here!

This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. Always remember that past performance is not indicative of future results.


How the Daily Chart Setup Works

Here’s a more detailed description of how the pattern triggers:

1. The price breaks upward through the orange Market Roadmap line. 

2. Then the price goes up and down while staying above the line. Eventually, it comes down to touch the line again — this could take days, weeks or even months. 

3. Once it touches the line and starts moving back up, that signals an entry. 

I use Fibonacci levels for for profit targets and stop losses, and these two tools combined have helped me achieve a 77% win rate over the past six-plus years!

You can grab my Market Roadmap Indicator here for just $5 — less than a cup of coffee at most places!
Jeffry Turnmire
Jeffry Turnmire Trading

I host my “Morning Monster” livestream at 9:15 a.m. ET each weekday on YouTube, and then “30 Minutes of Awesome” at 5 p.m. ET each Tuesday!

Please check out my channel and hit that Subscribe button!

I’m just a regular dude in Knoxville, Tennessee: a husband, father, civil engineer, urban farmer, maker and trader.

I've been at this trading thing with real money for 20-plus years, and started paper trading over 35 years ago. I have a knack for making some epic predictions that just may very well come true. Why share them? Because I like helping other people — it's the Eagle Scout in me. 


*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. 
   
 

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