| Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven't yet, sign up here. Whether or not Donald Trump's step back from the brink on tariffs was all part of the plan, it's left China out on a limb. Beijing is now subject to record US tariffs of 125%, almost certainly meaning surging costs to US consumers of everything from smartphones to sneakers, laptops and children's toys. WATCH: Trump says China wants to make a trade deal, but Beijing doesn't know how to go about it. Investors cheered the president's 90-day pause on levies on other nations, sending markets into a frenzy. But the reality is that the two largest economies are now at loggerheads. Where does that leave the world order? It puts Trump on a collision course with Chinese President Xi Jinping, whose government has vowed to fight "to the end." While both sides have said they're open to talks, it's politically unviable for Xi to submit to Trump's pressure tactics. And the US leader has shown no sign of offering a face-saving off ramp. Beijing hit back at the levies forcefully and hasn't shown any clear signs of trying to contact Trump. China warned citizens about traveling or studying in the US. There are other strains, of course: US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth criticized China's military this week for having "too large of a presence in the Western Hemisphere," calling on governments to work together to deter Beijing. To be sure, the Biden administration put up numerous hurdles to China's advance, denying it access to leading-edge technology including semiconductors through ever-tighter export controls. But it broadly agreed with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen's policy in relation to China of de-risking, not decoupling — namely diversifying supply chains to reduce the risk of pinch-points for strategic items like medical goods or critical minerals. That gauge has now tipped far closer to severing economic ties. The concern must be that without pulling back from the edge, the US and China will increasingly diverge and go their own ways, forcing other nations to choose a side. In that scenario, it may only be a matter of time until trade tensions spill over into other, more dangerous arenas. — Alan Crawford A garment workshop in Guangzhou, China, on Monday. Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg |
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