| President Donald Trump surprised everyone this afternoon when he pulled back on some of the most severe tariffs announced just a week ago on "Liberation Day." Businessweek editor Brad Stone provides some quick analysis. Plus: Mass government firings lead to a loss of expertise, and why everyone is still talking about Netflix's Adolescence. If this email was forwarded to you, click here to sign up. It was 1:18 p.m. in Washington when Wall Street, Main Street and probably more than a few CEOs who'd volubly pledged their fealty to President Donald Trump breathed a loud, synchronized sigh of relief. "Based on the fact that more than 75 Countries have called Representatives of the United States," Trump posted in his inimical way to Truth Social, his social media site, "I have authorized a 90 day PAUSE, and a substantially lowered Reciprocal Tariff during this period, of 10%, also effective immediately. Thank you for your attention to this matter!" Citing "the lack of respect China has shown to the World's Markets," Trump promptly raised the tariffs on Chinese goods to 125%. Other countries that haven't crossed the president by contemplating retaliation against imports from the US are mostly spared, at least for now. The bottom line: An all-out economically disastrous trade war was averted. Financial markets were immediately buoyed. As of 3:30 p.m., the Dow has jumped by 7.4%, the S&P 500 by 8.3%, and the Nasdaq by 11.5%. (As the news continues to ripple throughout the markets, follow our live blog for the latest.) In the first Trump term, cabinet members like John Kelly, Rex Tillerson and Gary Cohn were considered "adults in the room"—experienced executives and veteran policymakers who could counter the president's most destructive impulses. This time around, observers have noted that Trump's cabinet is packed with loyalists and have feared that there would be no such tripwire to avert his campaigns against real and perceived enemies at home and abroad. On X today, Trump allies linked arms and sought to dispel that fear by gently conveying the notion that more seasoned voices had won out. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick posted: "[Secretary of the Treasury] Scott Bessent and I sat with the President while he wrote one of the most extraordinary Truth posts of his Presidency. The world is ready to work with President Trump to fix global trade, and China has chosen the opposite direction." Investor Bill Ackman, one of the few Trump-supporting business leaders who publicly inveighed against the threatened tariffs, acknowledged that sanity had prevailed. "@SecScottBessent rocks!" he wrote on X. "Thank you on behalf of all Americans." Although the Trump administration has inched away from the brink of trade war, it's still close enough to peer over the edge. The elevated 125% tariffs against China, over its refusal to negotiate with the US, could affect everything from iPhone components to solar panels and automobile parts. The 10% universal baseline rate will hurt American consumers still smarting from post-Covid-19 inflation and watching prices carefully. But the sanguine market reaction to Trump's tariff retreat revealed a broad and palpable sense of relief. The pullback signaled to the markets and the wider world that the president is still susceptible to financial market dynamics and public perception, and that he doesn't like the phrase "bear market" next to his name. And it shows that perhaps business leaders are still being heard in the Oval Office—that in this administration, there are still a few seasoned voices in the room. Related from the Everything Risk newsletter: We Are Still Heading Into a Bear Market Market wrap: Stocks Surge Most Since 2020 on Trump Reprieve |
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