Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Supply Lines: Cargo slump ahead

The Port of Long Beach could see cargo volumes plummet by as much as 20% in the second half of 2025 if current trade uncertainties worsen, C
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The Port of Long Beach could see cargo volumes plummet by as much as 20% in the second half of 2025 if current trade uncertainties worsen, CEO Mario Cordero warned in an interview with Bloomberg Television.

Cordero pointed to growing concerns over new tariff discussions, noting that uncertainty over US trade policy — particularly with allied nations — is making it difficult to predict future shipping trends.

"It's hard to really forecast what we don't know — what's going to happen in the future in terms of where tariff conversations are going to go ultimately, particularly with our allies," he said. (Click here to watch the full interview.)

Bloomberg Tracker: Every Trump Tariff and Its Economic Effect

He cited the last major trade war under Trump's first term, during which the port saw a 20.5% decline in cargo from China. That loss was partially offset by a 10% increase in shipments from other nations, especially Vietnam.

"Now what's different is that every country is being hit with these tariffs," Cordero said.

Read More: Americans Rush to Buy Olive Oil and iPhones Before Tariffs 

Despite the looming threat, Cordero said US ports can adapt, provided there is greater policy transparency from Washington.

"History will tell you that the ports will survive and we will adjust to whatever the administration's policies that go forward," he said. "But again, what we need today — not only the ports, but the business sector and Wall Street — we need clarity, and we need certainty."

  • Tariffs Explained: As major increases in US tariffs begin to redefine the country's trading relationships, American consumers are getting a crash course in how taxes on imports work. This story explains the basics.

Nazmul Ahasan in Washington

Bloomberg's tariff tracker follows all the twists and turns of global trade wars. Click here for more of Bloomberg.com's most-read stories about trade, supply chains and shipping.

Charted Territory

Weaker currency | China is guiding the yuan weaker at a carefully orchestrated pace, as the central bank seeks to blunt some of the economic impact of the trade war without destabilizing financial markets.

Coming Up

After the rollout of Trump's so-called reciprocal tariffs, what's the impact on global markets and economies? Join us for a Live Q&A today at 11 a.m. EDT.

Today's Must Reads

  • While Trump's steeper-than-expected tariffs have traumatized financial markets and triggered recession fears all over the world, his White House weighed the option of going even bigger. Meanwhile, the US president said his long-promised tariffs on pharmaceutical drugs will be coming soon.
  • Japan has sent two senior government officials to the US to lay the groundwork for upcoming tariff negotiations.
  • Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez is visiting China to strengthen ties and discuss trade agreements, positioning Spain as a key partner for China in Europe.
  • New Zealand's central bank cut interest rates for a fifth straight meeting and said it has scope for further reductions as US tariffs create downside risks for economic growth and inflation. India's central bank lowered its benchmark interest rate for a second straight meeting to bolster growth in Asia's third-largest economy.
  • CK Hutchison shares extended declines, erasing all their advances since the company agreed to sell its Panama Canal port assets to a BlackRock Inc.-led consortium last month.

On the Bloomberg Terminal

  • China is unlikely to be swayed by US President Donald Trump's hardball trade tactics, as they guard their pride, drive a hard bargain and play the long game, Bloomberg Economics says.
  • Trump says at a White House event that he's spoken recently with steel executives, saying they're planning on building new plants in the US.
  • For Bloomberg Economics trade analysis: BECO MODELS TRADE
  • Run SPLC after an equity ticker on Bloomberg to show critical data about a company's suppliers, customers and peers.
  • Use the AHOY function to track global commodities trade flows.
  • See DSET CHOKE for a dataset to monitor shipping chokepoints. 
  • For freight dashboards, see BI RAIL, BI TRCK and BI SHIP and BI 3PLS
  • Click HERE for automated stories about supply chains.
  • On the Bloomberg Terminal, type NH FWV for FreightWaves content.
  • See BNEF for BloombergNEF's analysis of clean energy, advanced transport, digital industry, innovative materials, and commodities.

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