Saturday, March 29, 2025

Brussels Edition: A fraught coalition in Vienna

Austria's three-way coalition is under pressure to prove it can offer more purpose than just to keep the far right from power
View in browser
Bloomberg

Welcome to the weekend issue of Brussels Edition, Bloomberg's daily briefing on what matters most in the heart of the European Union. Join us on Saturdays for deeper dives from our bureaus across Europe.

VIENNA — Less than a month into its term, Austria's three-way coalition is under pressure to prove it can offer more purpose than just to keep the far right from power.

A widening budget shortfall, a looming EU excessive deficit procedure, a likely third year of recession and an ailing industry call for swift action and deep changes in one of Europe's richest economies, which is showing signs of being past its prime.

But conservative Chancellor Christian Stocker's alliance with the social democrats and the liberals is fraught with contradictions, and a hastily compiled government program serves as a thin foundation for much-needed reforms.

Vice Chancellor Andreas Babler, left, Christian Stocker, and Beate Meinl-Reisinger in Vienna, on March 18. Photographer: HANS KLAUS TECHT/AFP

Take Finance Minister Markus Marterbauer, the Keynesian former chief economist of the Chamber of Labor, an umbrella organization connected with unions. The Social Democrat is tasked with finding as much as €12 billion of savings in the next weeks, more than double initial assumptions.

Austria is a long-time budget hawk in the EU, and adhering to its fiscal rules is one of few substantive measures defined in the government program. But it comes just as neighboring Germany opens its purse to stimulus.

Energetic Foreign Minister Beate Meinl-Reisinger is shaking up Austria's diplomacy and trying to find the former imperial power's place in a changing global world order.

Her liberal party has been the only political force to push for an overhaul of a decades-old military neutrality, but she will need to represent the still widely popular position that seems increasingly misaligned with a Europe contending with Russian aggression and US contempt.

Stocker, a 65-year old lawyer and former small-town deputy mayor, has vowed to bring stability and order, perhaps not what's most needed for the People's Party that's still trying to find its footing after the ousting of political prodigy Sebastian Kurz, and with the Freedom Party's populist provocateur Herbert Kickl stealing voters.

Agreeing on a forceful two-year budget by the summer would help quell the doubters, of which there are many. One prominent executive in Vienna recently told us he expects the government to last no longer than 12 to 18 months.

Marton Eder, Vienna bureau chief

Weekend Reads

Greece Offers Vital Lessons for Europe in Defense Spending

Greece has a long rivalry with its Turkey over sovereign rights in the island-dotted waters that separate them. As Europe figures out how to ramp up military spending in the face of Russia's threat, Greece offers valuable lessons in what it takes to live with an adversary next door. While Athens has maintained a strong armed forces whatever the cost, it's struggled to develop much of a domestic defense industry.

Porsche Has Nowhere to Hide as Trump Unleashes Next Tariff Wave

Newly-manufactured Porsche automobiles on a transporter outside the Zuffenhausen plant. Photographer: Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg

The impact of new US auto tariffs hits Germany from Munich in the south — the home of BMW — to the northern port of Bremerhaven, which ships German cars all over the world. But no place is more exposed than Zuffenhausen, where Porsche makes lucrative models like the 911.

Trump Slashed International Aid. Geneva Is Feeling the Impact.

When President Donald Trump pulled the US out of the World Health Organization and shuttered the US Agency for International Development, the changes were felt immediately in Geneva. Suddenly, the WHO is scrambling to find alternate donors, and Geneva's councillors proposed using $11 million from the local budget to cover NGO salaries in the wake of the USAID cuts. Other agencies are bracing for worse.

Defense Contractor Sold for €1 Is One of Europe's Hottest Stocks

 A €1 bet on a struggling Austrian engine maker has turned into one of the hottest investments in Europe thanks to the boom in defense stocks. German private equity firm Mutares paid the token price for Steyr Motors back in 2022 and is now reaping the gains — both through the 1,600% surge in Steyr's shares and in its own stock price, which doubled in just six months. 

Insider Trade Ring Born at Paris Lunch Made $17 Million, US Says

An alleged international insider trading conspiracy that US officials say yielded millions of dollars in illegal profits all started over a Michelin-starred meal at a Paris restaurant owned by an ex-Merrill Lynch investment banker. Authorities say a globe-spanning insider ring used disposable burner phones, derivatives, and a kickback payment made with a plastic bag stuffed with €100,000 in a Vienna cafe.

This Week in Europe

  • Monday: General strike in Belgium,  with all outbound flight canceled at Brussels airport
  • Tuesday: Ukraine hosts a conference to discuss its EU accession process
  • Wednesday: Trump's deadline for imposing so-called reciprocal tariffs
  • Thursday: EU defense ministers hold informal meeting in Warsaw
  • Thursday-Friday: NATO foreign ministers meet in Brussels; first EU-Central Asia summit in Samarkand, Uzbekistan

Like the Brussels Edition?


Don't keep it to yourself. Colleagues and friends can sign up here.

How are we doing? We want to hear what you think about this newsletter. Let our Brussels bureau chief know.
Follow Us

Like getting this newsletter? Subscribe to Bloomberg.com for unlimited access to trusted, data-driven journalism and subscriber-only insights.

Want to sponsor this newsletter? Get in touch here.

You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Brussels Edition newsletter. If a friend forwarded you this message, sign up here to get it in your inbox.
Unsubscribe
Bloomberg.com
Contact Us
Bloomberg L.P.
731 Lexington Avenue,
New York, NY 10022
Ads Powered By Liveintent Ad Choices

No comments:

Post a Comment

From Lehman to Liberation, don't trust first takes

To get John Authers' newsletter delivered directly to your inbox, sign up here. Liberation Day is here! Why does it feel as omin...