Sunday, February 2, 2025

Sydney and Melbourne lead house prices lower

Good morning and welcome back, it's Ainsley here with all the news you need to start your working week.Today's must-reads:• House prices fal
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Good morning and welcome back, it's Ainsley here with all the news you need to start your working week.

Today's must-reads:
• House prices fall further
• Townsville floods spark evacuation
• Dutton echoes Trump on DEI

What's happening now

House prices slid further in January as buyers in the triangle of Melbourne-Canberra-Sydney found themselves increasingly priced out of those markets. The Home Value Index for major cities fell 0.2% in its second straight monthly decline, property consultancy CoreLogic said. Melbourne dropped 0.6%, Canberra fell 0.5% and Sydney was down 0.4%.

Officials urged residents in the northeastern city of Townsville and adjacent areas to evacuate as torrential rains raised the risk of a flood disaster in the area. Some parts of north Queensland have had more than 600 millimeters of rain in 24 hours, the Bureau of Meteorology said Sunday, and further heavy downpours are predicted. Queensland's premier said a woman died when an emergency services boat capsized in floodwaters in the rural town of Ingham, north of Townsville.

Opposition leader Peter Dutton echoed US President Donald Trump's criticism of diversity, equality and inclusion workers in the public sector, saying the Labor administration had wasted money on employing tens of thousands of new government workers. In a speech on Friday he particularly singled out positions targeted at improving DEI goals.

Australia's central bank will embark on interest-rate cuts next month, according to a majority of economists polled by Bloomberg, in what would be its first monetary easing in more than four years.

What happened overnight

Investors look likely to be initially favoring the US dollar, propelling it to new highs, and may shun stocks after President Donald Trump carried out his threat to impose general levies of 25% on Canada and Mexico and 10% on Chinese goods starting on Tuesday, sparking commitments to retaliate from other governments. 

Trump's tariffs against Canada and Mexico will threaten production at automakers across North America and send record vehicle prices even higher, with about a quarter of a trillion dollars in trade set to be disrupted. Barring a surprise, the tariffs are set to take effect at 12:01 a.m. on Tuesday, giving manufacturers less than 48 hours to figure out what to do. 

Vehicles parked at General Motors in Silao, Guanajuato state, Mexico. Photographer: Mauricio Palos/Bloomberg

Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong will come under renewed pressure when they resume trading on Monday following a three-session break, after Trump fired the first salvo of his tariff war. Fears of rising levies had already helped push the MSCI China Index into a bear market last month.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio told Panamanian leaders that the US would protect its rights under the Panama Canal Treaty if the Central American nation didn't move to oust Chinese-connected companies near the critical waterway.

The Indian middle class, and even some of its top 10% earners, are now fully exempt from income taxes, writes Andy Mukherjee for Bloomberg Opinion. Small businesses don't expect such largesse; they just want to know when they will be free of stifling red tape.

What to watch

All times Sydney
• 9:00 a.m.: Jan. S&P Global Australia PMI Manufacturing
• 11:00 a.m.: Jan. Melbourne Institute Inflation
• 11:30 a.m.: Australia 4Q Retail Sales
• 11:30 a.m.: Australia Jan. ANZ-Indeed Job Advertisements
• 11:3o a.m.: Australia Dec. Building Approvals 
• Earnings include Argo Investments 

One more thing...

Dubai is luring the ultra rich by building luxury homes priced from $60 million to over $120 million, featuring cinemas, spas and private elevators. Last year, 435 homes valued at more than $10 million each were sold in Dubai, surpassing New York and Hong Kong, according to Knight Frank.

Beach front mansions command some of the highest prices in Dubai.
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