Monday, January 6, 2025

Supply Lines: Security blanket

President Joe Biden's decision to block Japanese-owned Nippon Steel's $14.1 billion bid to acquire US Steel underscores the shift away from
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President Joe Biden's decision to block Japanese-owned Nippon Steel's $14.1 billion bid to acquire US Steel underscores the shift away from globalization and embrace of a broader definition of national security.

The US government is increasingly relying on vaguely defined national-security exceptions to block trade and investment deals, according to reporting from Bloomberg's Eric Martin.

Not even a takeover by a company based in a close ally like Japan was enough to offset the Biden administration's concerns. President-elect Donald Trump had also pledged to nix the deal.

The move, some experts said, may deter foreign companies from investing in the US, particularly from Japan, which is the largest source of foreign direct investment in the US and supports almost 1 million American jobs.

Read More: Biden's Decision on US Steel Deal Followed Divide in His Orbit

Bill Reinsch, a Commerce Department official during the Clinton administration and now a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said "it does seem that the definition of national security is getting broader than it used to be."

It's not just the US. A study from Council on Foreign Relations analysts Benn Steil and Elisabeth Harding tracked how the Trump and Biden administrations — followed by many other countries — had increasingly relied on national-security exceptions at the World Trade Organization to block actions they opposed.

John Murphy, who leads work on international trade at the US Chamber of Commerce, said the outcome "could have a chilling effect on international investment in America," he said.

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Brendan Murray in London

Click here for more of Bloomberg.com's most-read stories about trade, supply chains and shipping.

Charted Territory

Car sales | Tesla's annual vehicle sales dropped for the first time in more than a decade despite a year-end push that sent deliveries to a record in the fourth quarter. The company sold 1.79 million vehicles last year, slightly less than what it delivered in 2023 and also below analysts' consensus estimate. The results offer a sobering reminder of the challenges for EV makers even as Elon Musk's closeness with Trump sent Tesla stock soaring in recent months. Meanwhile, Trump's threat to end tax credits for electric vehicles helped lift sales in the fourth quarter, giving US automakers a much-needed boost after a disappointing year.

Today's Must Reads

  • Taiwan suspects that a Chinese-owned cargo vessel damaged an undersea cable near its northeastern coast, in an alleged act of sabotage that highlights the vulnerabilities of Taipei's offshore communications infrastructure.
  • A niche corner of the insurance market is keeping hundreds of billions of dollars in commodity trade moving through some of the world's most dangerous waters.
  • Vietnam could face price pressures and challenges to the prime minister's 8% expansion target on the Trump administration's policies.
  • A US factory measure improved for a second month in December as orders and production picked up, suggesting the cloud over manufacturing may be starting to lift.
  • Italy's prime minister met with Trump over the weekend at his Mar-a-Lago club in Florida, discussing topics including trade and a deal to provide secure telecommunications for the nation's government. Separately, Trump hit out at the UK's windfall tax on oil and gas producers.
  • China is planning tougher scrutiny on exports of technology to make battery materials, as Beijing looks to protect its grip on a crucial supply chain amid rising global trade tensions.
  • The Biden administration is considering a rule that could limit or ban Chinese drones in the US.
  • Watch Bloomberg Economics' Maeva Cousin discuss what to expect from European economies in 2025 as uncertainty looms over tariffs ahead of Trump's return to the White House and as Germany prepares to face a snap election in February. 

On the Bloomberg Terminal

  • December's ISM Manufacturing PMI surprised to the upside on the back of increased orders and improved factory production. But details of the report paint a less rosy picture, according to Bloomberg Economics.
  • Malaysia and Singapore are expected to sign the agreement formalizing a special economic zone in the state of Johor on Monday, The Edge newspaper reported. 
  • Run SPLC after an equity ticker on Bloomberg to show critical data about a company's suppliers, customers and peers.
  • Use the AHOY function to track global commodities trade flows.
  • See DSET CHOKE for a dataset to monitor shipping chokepoints. 
  • For freight dashboards, see BI RAIL, BI TRCK and BI SHIP and BI 3PLS
  • Click HERE for automated stories about supply chains.
  • On the Bloomberg Terminal, type NH FWV for FreightWaves content.
  • See BNEF for BloombergNEF's analysis of clean energy, advanced transport, digital industry, innovative materials, and commodities.

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