Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Money markets bet on February rate cut

Good morning, it's Keira here in Sydney. Here's everything you need to know today from Australia and beyond.Today's must-reads:• Traders bet
View in browser
Bloomberg

Good morning, it's Keira here in Sydney. Here's everything you need to know today from Australia and beyond.

Today's must-reads:
• Traders bet the RBA will start easing rates next month 
• The rate of Australian rent growth is slowing
• LA fires continue to spread

What's happening now

Money markets now see about a 70% chance the Reserve Bank will finally embark on its easing cycle in February after official data showed a key gauge of inflation edged closer to its 2-3% target band.

Australian median rents rose 6.9% in the three months to December from a year ago, the slowest pace since 2021. The pace of rent growth is slowing due to an increased number of available rentals and cost of living pressures.

A persistent lithium glut and the prospect that some mines could be restarted if prices rise means the battery metal is unlikely to mount a significant recovery this year. Lithium prices have plunged since late 2022 on oversupply and slower-than-expected growth in electric vehicle demand. The rout has resulted in some mining capacity being suspended, but most analysts still see a surplus this year.
 

What happened overnight

The fires in Los Angeles continue to spread rapidly, already leaving two dead and a significant number of people injured. Along with the smaller fires, more than 23,000 acres in some of the wealthiest parts of LA county have burned in just about 24 hours. Such fires are evidence the sort of consequences that can be expected as the planet continues to heat up, consequences for which traditional risk-management tools — like, say, home insurance — are increasingly obsolete, Bloomberg Opinion's Mark Gongloff writes. Read our live updates here

A home burns during the Easton Fire in Altadena, California, on Wednesday. Photographer: Jill Connelly/Bloomberg

Stock traders refrained from making big bets, with the market set to close on the eve of Friday's jobs report. Treasuries rebounded as a solid $22 billion sale brought a degree of relief after the recent selloff. Singapore's stock benchmark closed at an all-time high on Wednesday, boosted by the ongoing rally in bank shares. Australian equities futures are pointing lower.

Constellation Energy Corp. is in talks to acquire Calpine Corp. in a deal valued at around $30 billion including debt, in what would be one of the biggest ever deals in the power generation sector. Calpine, which operates 80 facilities across 22 states and Canada, generates electricity from natural gas and geothermal resources, powering around 27 million homes annually.

India's economy is experiencing a slowdown, with growth expected to be 6.4% in the current fiscal year, a four-year low. Analysts say growth in coming years will likely remain well below the 8% average of the past three years and the pace Prime Minister Narendra Modi needs to meet his ambitious economic goals.

What to watch

• November imports, exports, trade balance and retail sales data at 11:30 a.m. in Sydney

One more thing...

China's most valuable company, Tencent Holdings, repurchased the most shares in nearly two decades after a selloff sparked by the tech firm's addition to a US blacklist for alleged links to the Chinese military. The stock is now down about a 10th since the Pentagon blacklisted the WeChat operator. The ongoing tech breakup between the US and China is forcing a rethink about what the industry might look like for consumers in a decoupled world, writes Bloomberg Opinion's Catherine Thorbecke.

Follow Us

Like getting this newsletter? Subscribe to Bloomberg.com for unlimited access to trusted, data-driven journalism and subscriber-only insights.

Want to sponsor this newsletter? Get in touch here.

You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Australia Briefing newsletter. If a friend forwarded you this message, sign up here to get it in your inbox.
Unsubscribe
Bloomberg.com
Contact Us
Bloomberg L.P.
731 Lexington Avenue,
New York, NY 10022
Ads Powered By Liveintent Ad Choices

No comments:

Post a Comment

Supply Lines: US port deal reached

A US dockworkers union reached a tentative deal on a new labor contract with a group of ocean carriers and terminal operators, poten...