Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven't yet, sign up here. Justin Trudeau's planned resignation as prime minister puts Canada in a bind over its awkward southern neighbor. President-elect Donald Trump is threatening to impose 25% duties on Canadian imports, and used Trudeau's announcement yesterday that he'll leave once a successor is chosen to again mock Canada as the 51st US state. Not only will Trudeau be a lame-duck leader when Trump takes office this month, but he may lose key cabinet ministers as contenders jockey to replace him as Liberal Party chief. Chrystia Freeland, who led Canada's trade negotiations during Trump's first term, already quit as finance minister last month. Her replacement, Dominic LeBlanc, is frequently cited as a leadership hopeful, as is Foreign Minister Melanie Joly. But both are frontline ministers on US relations and if they run for leader, they will likely need to step down first. Other candidates include Mark Carney, the former central bank governor and current chair of Bloomberg Inc., who said he's considering a leadership run. Mark Carney. Photographer: Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg Canada isn't alone in facing political turmoil as Trump assumes office. Among fellow Group of Seven nations, Germany is in campaign mode ahead of Feb. 23 elections, France is suffering political gridlock and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has had a rocky start. In Asia, meanwhile, South Korea's president is impeached and subject to arrest. Canada's opposition parties are pledging to bring down the Liberal government at the next opportunity, which should come in late March. That would trigger an election, with Pierre Poilievre's Conservative Party far ahead in the polls. Poilievre has been road-testing his approach to Trump, using blunt language to point out the US trade deficit is driven by "stupid" Canada selling its oil at a steep discount. Canada, once considered a poster child for handling Trump, is consumed with strife just as the incoming president promises economically devastating tariffs. Far from being unified against the threat, Canada is distracted and divided — and it may only get worse from here. — Brian Platt Pierre Poilievre speaks during a news conference in Toronto in December. Photographer: Cole Burston/Bloomberg |
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