| Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven't yet, sign up here. A lightning advance by opposition fighters in Syria in the past week has President Bashar al-Assad calling for help. Only, his main backers Russia and Iran are distracted with their own conflicts. That left the path open for Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, a breakaway faction of al-Qaeda, to capture the city of Aleppo over the weekend. The rebels are now headed toward another major goal, Hama, with the ultimate aim of reaching the capital, Damascus. Syria, whose war began in 2011 with an outpouring of anger at Assad during the Arab Spring uprisings, had been relatively quiet following the October 2023 attack on Israel by Hamas, which set off deep turmoil in the Middle East. Now, it's adding to the regional upheaval. The question is whether Russian President Vladimir Putin will step in to help Assad as he has done in the past. The Syrian leader reportedly flew to Moscow to ask for support from Russia, which has been carrying out air strikes against the rebels. But Putin's invasion of Ukraine is consuming Russian resources. Iran finds itself weakened by Israel's attacks on Hezbollah in Lebanon. Syrian National Army soldiers yesterday. Photographer: Huseyin Nasir/Anadolu/Getty Images The Syrian flare-up draws in Turkey — perhaps by design. The sudden escalation came after Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced plans to create a safe zone along the border with Syria and push away Kurdish forces it has long battled there. There are also implications for how the US and its allies tackle remnants of the Islamic State group in Syria; the US sees Kurdish fighters as critical to preventing its resurgence. Washington's future stance is another wildcard. In his first term, Donald Trump pulled some US troops out of northern Syria, endangering US allies and creating a vacuum that Turkey was happy to fill. Next month it will again become Trump's problem. — Sylvia Westall Anti-government fighters in Syria's northwestern Idlib province on Saturday. Photographer: Abdulaziz Ketaz/AFP/Getty Images |
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