Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven't yet, sign up here. Donald Trump may have promised to end the war in Ukraine immediately after taking office, but that prospect is sending tensions spiking over the conflict launched by Russia. With just weeks until Trump takes office, Kyiv seized on outgoing President Joe Biden's decision to reverse course and allow Ukraine to use American-made Army Tactical Missile Systems, known as ATACMS, for limited long-range attacks on Russian territory. Ukrainian forces today used ATACMS to carry out their first strike on Russia's western Bryansk border region, hitting an ammunition depot, according to local Ukraine reports. WATCH: Ukrainian armed forces carried out their first strike in a border region within Russian territory with an ATACMS missile, RBC Ukraine reported. Oliver Crook breaks down the situation. Source: Bloomberg TV That came on the same day President Vladimir Putin signed a decree allowing Russia to fire nuclear weapons in response to a massive conventional attack on its soil. Markets that have long shrugged off the daily toll in Ukraine took fright at the developments, with a rush into traditional haven assets including the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc and German bonds. In the Baltic region, which is on the front line for any further Russian aggression, Finland and Lithuania yesterday reported separate incidents of severed subsea data cables. The cables, one connecting Finland and Germany and the other Lithuania to Sweden, were cut early yesterday in what was likely an external impact. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said what many were thinking when he described the incidents as suspected sabotage. Finland and Sweden joined NATO in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Moscow and Kyiv look to be using the remaining time before Trump's return to push as hard as they can to maximize their relative positions, in anticipation of a push for negotiations to end the war. With Group of 20 leaders pulling back from language denouncing Russia at their summit in Brazil this week, the rest of the world may be prepared only to look on. — Alan Crawford Trump's second term in office will have repercussions for US policy on Russia, Ukraine and NATO. Tune in to our Live Q&A on Nov. 20 at 9 a.m. ET, where Bloomberg reporters will answer questions on what that might look like. |
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