While much of the world braces for US Inauguration Day on Jan. 20, there's another date that month that's heaping uncertainty on the global economy. Jan. 15th is the deadline for dockworkers on America's East and Gulf coasts to reach a deal on a new contract with their employers. Failing to do so means a repeat of the strike that halted operations in early October — a shutdown that lasted only three days but showed how quickly bottlenecks form when cargo handlers stay home from work for better pay and job security. Read More: Trump Tariff Plans Expected to Deliver High Drama, Bumpy Rollout The thorniest issues are still unresolved, as Bloomberg's Laura Curtis reports today. When the International Longshoremen's Association and US Maritime Alliance agreed on a 62% pay raise in order to suspend the strike in early October, they left more difficult issues like automation for after the US election. Look no further then Canada for the latest example of the chaos shuttered ports can create very quickly. On Tuesday, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's government directed an independent labor board to end lockouts at Canada's largest ports. It was a highly unusual move, and while necessary to limit economic damage, it could further damage the Liberal government's relations with labor groups. Read More: A $2 Trillion Reckoning Looms as Ports Become Pawns in Geopolitics If there's no deal by Jan. 15 in the US, President-elect Donald Trump may face similar economic and political tradeoffs — support union members against their Asia- and Europe-based employers, or side with companies arguing that they're trying to modernize inefficient US ports with automated equipment that's standard in most other major trading powers. On the campaign trail, Trump sounded sympathetic to the dockworkers' fight. "American workers should be able to negotiate for better wages, especially since the shipping companies are mostly foreign flag vessels," Trump said during their strike last month. At a separate event, Trump said the dockworkers "also don't want to see certain new technologies, which in many cases don't work very well." —Brendan Murray in London Click here for more of Bloomberg.com's most-read stories about trade, supply chains and shipping. |
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