Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven't yet, sign up here. Donald Trump likes to argue that the world is on the cusp of WWIII and that under him the US was not involved in any wars. But now, the global hotspots are proliferating, and the conflict in the Middle East is spreading. Less than a month away from a US election that will probably be won on the smallest of margins, American allies are nervously probing for signs that the world's policeman won't retire — especially in a second Trump term. The takeaway from Trump's hour-long conversation with Bloomberg News Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait is that the Republican candidate is more fixated on tariffs than how to manage the geopolitical crises unfolding in real time. Left unanswered was whether American troops would step in to protect Taiwan if China invaded the democratic archipelago. Ukraine never came up, nor did Iran. Instead, Trump seemed stuck in the past, weaving a reverie about his great relationships with antagonists like China's Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin of Russia and ever more committed to a narrative where long-time friends are taking advantage of the US and French President Emmanuel Macron is a "wise guy." WATCH: Trump dismisses economists' predictions that his proposed tariffs would pass costs on to US consumers. Source: Bloomberg "They screw us on trade, so bad, the European nations. And then on top of that, they were screwing us on the military," he said in the interview in Chicago yesterday. This time Brussels is ready on the trade front — should Trump win, the European Commission can immediately pull out of the drawer a list of American goods it could target. But when it comes to the war on its doors, Europe is ill-equipped to fend for itself should the US retreat and leave the continent exposed to Putin's creeping expansionism. A Bloomberg investigation paints a disconcerting picture of a "Potemkin army" — one with no experience in planning or commanding large-scale combined-force operations. At least in that regard, Trump has a point. — Flavia Krause-Jackson Swedish, Finnish, Italian and French forces during the Nordic Response 24 military exercise on March 10. Photographer: Jonathan Nackstrand/AFP/Getty Images |
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