Wednesday, October 23, 2024

Supply Lines: European trade worries

European officials are amplifying their concerns that the US will head down a path of even more trade protectionism.The latest voice was Eur

European officials are amplifying their concerns that the US will head down a path of even more trade protectionism.

The latest voice was European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, who on Tuesday challenged former President Donald Trump's campaign platform by defending the importance of international commerce.

Attending meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank this week in Washington, she pushed back against his campaign promises to raise tariffs on the expectation it will help the American economy.

"Fair trade is a key boost for growth, for employment, for innovation, for productivity," Lagarde said in an interview with Bloomberg Television's Francine Lacqua. "It's something that we should not throw away because in any period of time where this country, the United States, has thrived were periods of trade — not periods of 'I'm going to retire behind my boundaries and play at home.' No."

Video: ECB's Lagarde Defends Fair Trade in the Face of Tariffs

The Republican candidate has pledged to impose goods tariffs of 60% on China and as much as 20% on everyone else. Such measures, if implemented, would introduce the biggest trade shock since the Smoot-Hawley Act that deepened the Great Depression of the 1930s, some economists say.

In a new report, the IMF lowered its global growth forecast for next year and warned of accelerating risks from wars totrade protectionism.

Lagarde has previously warned that the global nature of the euro area's economy makes it highly vulnerable to systemic shocks from supply chain disruptions.

Also Tuesday, data for September showed car sales in Europe fell for the first consecutive monthly decline in more than two years as the region's economy continued to stagnate and consumers trimmed spending.

Volvo Car's CEO told Bloomberg Television that he sees a softening in the auto market due to a number of factors, including inflation pressures, a slower-than-expected rollout of fast-charging infrastructure for electric vehicles, as well as trade tariffs.

Related Reading:

  • At a rally in North Carolina, Trump touted his pledge to provide tax breaks for purchasing cars, highlighting that the benefit would only apply to vehicles made in the US.
  • Goldman Sachs said the euro could drop as much as 10% versus the dollar if Trump and the Republicans win next month's US elections and enact high global tariffs and generous domestic tax cuts.
  • Central bankers losing sleep over Europe's souring economies have another worry looming large: how much more damage Trump could cause if he returns to the White House.
  • The outcome of the upcoming US election is a vote on the future of liberal democracies and Western values around the world, according to Germany's Finance Minister Christian Lindner.

Brendan Murray in London

Click here for more of Bloomberg.com's most-read stories about trade, supply chains and shipping.

Charted Territory

Tariff detour | Chinese automakers could more than double their overseas full-process manufacturing capacity to beat import tariffs and meet surging demand in emerging markets, according to BloombergNEF. On today's Big Take Asia podcast, learn how BYD became a top seller of affordable EVs and whether heavy tariffs from the West could slow it down.

Today's Must Reads

  • Chinese President Xi Jinping and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi both praised expanding relations with Russia at bilateral meetings with President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday.
  • UK Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds will unveil a new fund aimed at breaking down barriers faced by British exporters. Separately, the country's chancellor of the exchequer is considering plans to increase taxes paid by online giants such as Amazon.com.
  • In this Talking Transports podcast episode, Shannon Breen, co-CEO and founder of FreightVana, shares his insight into how drop trailers can be a game changer for the truckload broker. Breen also offers his thoughts on peak season, 2025 rates, the pros and cons of entrepreneurship and how football led him to the industry.
  • An investigation of Huawei's latest AI offering has unearthed an advanced processor made by Nvidia manufacturing partner TSMC, suggesting that China is still struggling to reliably make its own advanced chips in sufficient quantities.
  • Brazil Agriculture and Livestock Minister Carlos Favaro says protectionist measures must be countered with the expansion of the range of trading partners at the Bloomberg New Economy at B20 in Sao Paulo.
  • Solar ingot and wafer manufacturing projects in the US will qualify for a 25% tax credit under a new rule that could unlock investment in domestic production of the equipment used to make panels.

On the Bloomberg Terminal

  • China will push the use of green fuels, including methanol and ammonia, to clean up the shipping sector, the Ministry of Transport said.
  • Kuehne + Nagel's results show commercial momentum remains weak and volumes below overall industry growth but good cost control, according to analysts covering the Swiss freight group.
  • Run SPLC after an equity ticker on Bloomberg to show critical data about a company's suppliers, customers and peers.
  • Use the AHOY function to track global commodities trade flows.
  • See DSET CHOKE for a dataset to monitor shipping chokepoints. 
  • For freight dashboards, see {BI RAIL}, {BI TRCK} and {BI SHIP} and {BI 3PLS}
  • Click HERE for automated stories about supply chains.
  • On the Bloomberg Terminal, type NH FWV for FreightWaves content.
  • See BNEF for BloombergNEF's analysis of clean energy, advanced transport, digital industry, innovative materials, and commodities.

Like Supply Lines?

Don't keep it to yourself. Colleagues and friends can sign up here. We also publish Economics Daily, a briefing on the latest in global economics.

For even more: Follow @economics on Twitter and subscribe to Bloomberg.com for unlimited access to trusted, data-driven journalism and gain expert analysis from exclusive subscriber-only newsletters.

How are we doing? We want to hear what you think about this newsletter. Let our trade tsar know.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Welcome to Power Trends!

Hello, Thank you for subscribing! You will receive your first copy of Power Trends soon. We look forward ...