| Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven't yet, sign up here. Please note: Our email domain is changing, which means you'll be receiving this newsletter from noreply@news.bloomberg.com. Update your contacts to ensure you continue receiving it — check out the bottom of this email for more details. Israel is trying to turn the tables in Iran's proxy war against it. Back-to-back hits on senior Hezbollah and Hamas figures far from Israel's battlegrounds have brought the fight to enemy turf. That the latter took place in Tehran, upstaging the inauguration of the new Iranian president, squared with Israeli threats to strike the "head of the octopus" rather than merely the "tentacles." With the dust yet to settle, all sides appear to be weighing their next steps — and their words. Hezbollah hasn't confirmed Israel's claim of having killed Fuad Shukr in a Beirut suburb. Israel has kept mum on a similar strike that killed Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in the Iranian capital. The almost 10-month-old Gaza war and its several knock-on fronts are in a stunned lull. WATCH: Hamas said its political leader was killed in an airstrike in Tehran that it blamed on Israel. Bloomberg's Dan Williams reports from Jerusalem. Source: Bloomberg TV While some reprisals and escalation seem inevitable, the Israelis hope this won't preclude a truce to free some of the hostages Hamas seized in its Oct. 7 attack and will also help calm the confrontation with Hezbollah. They argue that killing enemy leaders makes those left behind likelier to seek a reprieve in order to survive. Past attempts to decapitate Hamas have left the faction unbowed, however, and eliminating Haniyeh, who acted as a negotiator in cease-fire talks, could dent hopes for an end to the conflict. As for Iran, Israel believes it will be busy attending to the breach in domestic security and wondering whether worse could follow if it retaliates directly. After all, Israel, with the help of Arab and Western partners, swatted away most of the unprecedented salvo of missiles and drones Iran launched at it in April. Whether or not conflagration looms also hinges on signals from Washington. Though distracted by the November election, the US administration — which Israel generally briefs on high-stakes operations — has restated its readiness to protect its ally.— Dan Williams |
No comments:
Post a Comment