Friday, June 30, 2023

Failing to change the subject

The Readout With Allegra Stratton.

Boom. There goes another day when the PM wanted to talk about something the public love — the NHS — and instead was dragged into to something they loathe: Tory infighting. Labour might think they can take the day off and head to the cricket.

Zac Goldsmith today quit government, attacking Sunak for "apathy" over the environment. No. 10 hit back that Goldsmith had refused to apologize for attacks on the Privileges Committee. Goldsmith's otherwise powerful resignation letter is remarkably heavy on criticism of the PM and light on self-criticism, when what he is accused of by the Committee is pretty serious. This afternoon he's issued an apology

Even before Goldsmith blasted the government's grid out of the water, Labour's Wes Streeting was having fun pointing out the Tories had adopted his plan wholesale — putting in place 300,000 more health care workers over 15 years. But in reality, both parties are giving the NHS what they have long asked for. 

What's more telling about today is that even when Sunak wants to change the subject, someone in his own party has other ideas. 

Rishi Sunak visits a mobile health check unit in Nottingham, UK, on June 26, 2023. Photographer: Phil Noble/Getty Images Europe

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Was Goldsmith right?

One of the most memorable meetings I had in government was a Zoom  call with Zac Goldsmith where he sat on a comfy armchair while a rescue jackdaw called Gilly perched on his shoulder. The bird pecked away at his ear throughout the conversation about the UK government's 30x30 pledge — to restore 30% of degraded land and sea by 2030 — screeching occasionally. As a minister he wasn't Dr. Doolittle but Dr. Do Quite A Bit, a champion for protecting the natural environment.  

Today Goldsmith says Rishi Sunak has abandoned the UK's climate leadership, established convincingly at COP26. I also think we have lost our way since COP26. When Boris Johnson was sucked into party-gate just two weeks after the successful conclusion of the UN summit, the momentum and focus went too. But we'll actually never know for sure. While Johnson's post-COP energy security strategy ratcheted up UK ambitions again, there was also a chance that, had he remained in power, he might have succumbed to advice gaining ground to downplay (though not discard) a focus on the environment in favor of small boats and the NHS. That would have been wrong. As Goldsmith's resignation letter points out, the environment and climate poll very high across all demographics. 

Zac Goldsmith Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg

I also think Sunak has been more solid for climate than his detractors allow. Of course I would say that (I worked for him, my husband works for him etc.) but attending COP26 as Chancellor he announced Transition Planning regulation which is right now, away from the focus of much reporting, seeing large companies demonstrate how they will transition from high emissions to low carbon. It's something countries around the world are looking to emulate. Last week, the Environment Secretary Therese Coffey hosted an event in No. 10 to encourage the financial world to support nature, an area that also finds leadership in the UK (though of course, questions abound about funding.)

But all of this is dwarfed by an announcement this week from the Committee on Climate Change that the UK is no longer a world leader on climate and government efforts are "worryingly slow." the committee said it is "markedly" less confident than a year ago that climate targets will be met. 

Getting back into this space would help the Conservatives with both their blue wall and red wall electoral targets; protecting jobs as much as jungles and helping energy security as much as the environment. Whatever the real trigger for Lord Goldsmith's departure, let's hope that the government now resolves to prove him wrong on the environment.

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Consequences of Wagner. Watch this mini documentary on what Wagner's Russian mutiny means for Putin and the world.

Amid drought alert. Hot temperatures are set to return to northwest Europe in July, at a time when some parts of the continent are already under drought warning.

Inflation problem. The UK is weighing options to blunt the cost of post-Brexit border checks on European food imports due to start in January over fears they could exacerbate the country's inflation problem.

Debt crunch. Rising debt-servicing costs threaten to swamp some of Britain's biggest water companies' finances and undermine many of their recent promises.

Is there a fix for China's economy?

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A stalled housing construction project in Zunyi, Guizhou province.
Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg

This was meant to be the year China's economy roared back to help power global growth. Instead, consumer spending is sluggish, the property market is crisis-ridden, exports are weakening, youth unemployment is at a record high and local government debt is towering. And there's no easy fix — raising the question of whether China is headed for a Japan-style malaise after 30 years of unprecedented economic growth.

Read The Big Take.

Allegra Stratton worked for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak when he was chancellor and runs an environmental consultancy, Zeroism.

Please send thoughts, tips and feedback to readout@bloomberg.net. You can follow Allegra on Twitter.

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