Tuesday, May 30, 2023

Pink hydrogen on pause

Why a $1 billion plan is on hold

In today's newsletter Will Wade explains why a billion-dollar plan to produce hydrogen using nuclear energy is on hold. You can read and share a free version of this story on Bloomberg.com. Subscribe to Bloomberg for unlimited access to climate and energy news, and to receive Bloomberg Green magazine.

US weighs rules on 'pink hydrogen'

By Will Wade

Constellation Energy Corp. has an ambitious $1 billion plan to produce hydrogen using carbon-free nuclear power. But the plan is on hold — and may be derailed completely — as the company awaits guidance from Washington on a tax credit that's expected to play a key role in efforts to use the gas to decarbonize heavy industries. 

The US Treasury Department is expected to issue rules in the coming months clarifying how hydrogen suppliers will qualify for a subsidy of as much as $3 per kilogram that's included in the Inflation Reduction Act. The industry has been waiting for guidance since the landmark law was signed in August, and the fate of Constellation's plan hinges on whether the Biden administration imposes strict limits urged by environmentalists and some Democratic lawmakers. 

Energy giant Constellation is the first US company to produce hydrogen at volume using nuclear energy, at a plant in upstate New York. It's been planning to install the technology at several reactors in the Midwest to supply industrial customers. Factories that make steel, fertilizer, chemicals and other carbon-intensive products account for about a quarter of global greenhouse gas emissions, and hydrogen produced using renewable or nuclear power can offer a low-carbon alternative to processes that rely on fossil fuels. However, there's a growing push to introduce language in the policy that would undermine the company's strategy. 

"The uncertainty around the regulations has brought us pretty much to a full stop," Chief Executive Officer Joe Dominguez said in an interview. He said the limits under consideration would threaten US climate targets. "If this doesn't get interpreted correctly, we're not going to have the hydrogen to meet the goal." 

And the US may need a lot of it. Annual demand for clean hydrogen may reach 10 million metric tons by 2030, driven largely by industrial consumption, according to a March Energy Department report. That amount could quadruple by 2050. 

Ten million tons is about the same amount of hydrogen that US industry consumes now, for refining fossil fuels, producing fertilizer, food processing, treating metals and other applications. But currently the vast majority is extracted from natural gas, a process that also produces carbon emissions. 

That's why there's a push for clean hydrogen, extracted from water. The key is that the process must use carbon-free electricity. That could come from wind, solar or hydropower dams — to make what's known as green hydrogen — or from nuclear reactors to make so-called pink hydrogen. Dominguez said the US nuclear industry could supply as much as half the demand in 2030. 

However, some environmentalists have concerns about using existing clean-energy facilities to make hydrogen. Those power plants are already supplying energy to the grid, but diverting electricity to make hydrogen would mean less clean power on the grid, creating a gap that may be filled with power from natural gas or coal, said Rachel Fakhry, policy director for emerging technologies with the Natural Resources Defense Council. 

Hydrogen tanks in a storage area at Constellation's production facility. Photographer: Lauren Petracca/Bloomberg

The text of the Inflation Reduction Act bases eligibility on meeting an emissions threshold and doesn't refer to any specific power-generation technology. NRDC has submitted comments to the Treasury Department outlining suggested criteria for being able to claim the full clean hydrogen tax credit known as 45V. Those include restricting eligibility to new power plants. Some options would let existing plants earn the credit, such as nuclear plants operating at night, when demand for power is low, or renewable facilities that began operating recently. 

"The basic principle is that there should be no increase in system-wide emissions on the grid," Fakhry said. 

Without "rigorous guardrails," the resulting investment could spur a net increase in US emissions, Senator Jeff Merkley of Oregon and four other Senate Democrats warned the Internal Revenue Service in a letter on May 25. 

Spurring production of carbon-free hydrogen could have significant climate benefits. Not only would it eliminate the emissions associated with the hydrogen that's widely used now, but the gas could also be used in new applications, like making clean steel or sustainable jet fuel. It could be blended with gas to curb emissions when burned in power plants and used in fuel cells to make electricity. But all of that needs clean hydrogen, and the US is currently making less than 1 million tons of it a year. 

A reactor operator in the control room at the Nine Mile Point plant. Photographer: Lauren Petracca/Bloomberg

Constellation is the biggest US nuclear operator and began commercial production of pink hydrogen in March at its Nine Mile Point plant, north of Syracuse. It's using less than 1% of the site's power to make about 530 kilograms (1,168 pounds) per day. Nuclear reactors often use hydrogen in their cooling systems, and the plant is making enough to meet its own needs, saving the company about $1 million a year. Other US reactor operators make small amounts of hydrogen, but Constellation is the only one doing so at scale, said Bob Beaumont, the project manager. 

The company is also looking at blending gas and hydrogen at power plants. It ran its Hillabee site in Alabama with a mixture of 38% hydrogen in a test this month, a concentration Dominguez said could probably be increased to "well over 50%." 

But the company has much bigger goals. It wants to boost hydrogen production 400-fold by adding electrolyzers at several of its Midwest power plants. Dominguez was talking to potential customers as well as equipment suppliers, and was about a month away from announcing signed contracts, he said, when he had to shelve the entire venture after it became clear that the Treasury guidelines wouldn't come out for months and there was a chance that nuclear power wouldn't qualify at all. 

The uncertainty has paralyzed Constellation's plans, and any rule that limits the credit to new power plants would effectively rule out nuclear plants, said Dominguez.  

"There's no business case" for building a new reactor, which typically costs billions and takes years, he said. "I'm frankly frustrated this issue has come up. It's crazy." 

Getting bigger 

$1.1 billion
How much was invested in the hydrogen sector in 2022, according to BloombergNEF. This is almost triple the previous year's amount. 

Potential worries 

"You are putting brakes on the intent of the IRA in a way that will definitely stifle the growth of the industry and the decarbonization benefits."
Frank Wolak
President of the Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Energy Association
Hydrogen advocates say restrictions on hydrogen tax credits would decimate the industry's potential value — and stop some planned projects in their tracks. 

More from Green

Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif warned world leaders at the COP27 climate talks last November that developing nations risk falling into a "financial debt trap" if they're forced to turn to the markets to cover the mounting costs of climate change. Six months on, with rates and temperatures rising, his prediction looks prescient. The average cost of capital for a select group of 58 climate-vulnerable countries is now 10.5%. That compares to a sovereign bond yield of 4.3% over the past decade for a Bloomberg Barclays emerging markets index. Read more here

Workers till a sugar field shortly after harvesting at Khanyangwane sugarcane project in South Africa's eastern district of Nkomazi. Photographer: Guillem Sartorio

China can hit climate goals early. The world's biggest greenhouse gas emitter could reach net zero by 2050 — 10 years earlier than its deadline —if it lifts investment in decarbonization to about $38 trillion.

Climate group suffers another blow. The list of firms walking out of the Net Zero Insurance Alliance is continuing to grow, as the industry struggles to navigate anti-ESG attacks led by the Republican Party. 

Brazil is set to host COP30. The United Nations' annual climate change summit in 2025 will be held in Belem, a city in Brazil's Amazon rainforest region, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva announced last Friday. 

Weather watch

By Brian K. Sullivan

Wildfires are burning across Nova Scotia. More than 16,400 people have had to flee their homes but so far there have been no injuries reported, according to the Halifax Regional Municipality website. While an exact count hasn't been completed, officials estimate at least 200 structures have been damaged, the agency said. About 170 fire fighters are battling the blazes and two air tankers are en route from Newfoundland.

Smoke from the fires is blowing south and this could lead to hazy conditions across New York City later today, the National Weather Service said. Boston, eastern Massachusetts and much of Long Island could also be affected.

Meanwhile, it's lightning season across the Northern Hemisphere. From 2006 to 2022, 466 people were struck and killed by bolts, according to John Jensenius, lightning safety specialist with the National Lightning Safety Council. 

Fishing ranks on top of the council's "deadly dozen" activities that contributed to lightning fatalities last year. Soccer and golf were in a tie for 12th place with 13 deaths each.

Jensenius said the safest bet is to always take risk seriously and react early. "Many people wait far too long when thunderstorms are developing or approaching, and that leaves them in a dangerous and potentially deadly situation,'' he said.

In other weather news today:

China: Torrential rains have hit China's wheat fields at harvest time, leaving crops waterlogged and moldy in the country's top producing province.

Singapore: El Niño will likely increase the risk of transboundary haze in Singapore, according to the national weather office, saying the public should ensure they have sufficient face masks and air purifiers.

India: Some areas, including Rajasthan, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh, are expected to have rains, hailstorms and gusty winds in the next few days, according to the India Meteorological Department.

Europe: Colder-than-average temperatures are forecast across the Nordic region this week, while near-normal levels are expected across much of central Europe, according to forecaster Maxar Technologies.

Worth a listen

$70 billion went into climate tech from venture capital last year. Silicon Valley was the origin point for a lot of that cash. But how exactly did it become a hub for climate tech investing? On the latest episode of the Zero podcast, Akshat Rathi talks to Dipender Saluja of Capricorn Investment Group and an early investor in Tesla about how Silicon Valley got into investing in climate technologies. Listen to Zero — and subscribe now on AppleSpotify, or Google to get new episodes every Thursday.

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