The total crypto market cap drew down another 2.5% over the last 24 hours, continuing its slide over the course of this week. The recent success of Ethereum's Shapella upgrade is however still reflected in its price action, as ETH remains up 5.5% over the last 30 days while BTC is down -0.5% over the same period.
Liquid staking protocols were the talk of the town heading into Shapella. The narrative was easy to understand as withdrawals lead to better price parity and more participation, and the cash flow potential is a straightforward calculation based on ETH staking yield. Lido stETH still dominates the market with nearly 75% market share of all LSDs. Coinbase cbETH, Rocket Pool rETH, and Frax frxETH round out the top four with 14%, 6%, and 2% of market share respectively.
Will market dynamics shift as these protocols roll out their withdrawal process? Rocket Pool and Coinbase have already rolled out support for LSD redemptions, while Lido is aiming for a May upgrade and Frax has yet to finalize and publish its upgrade plan.
Yield and decentralization are also likely to be demand drivers for the next wave of LSD users. Frax's two-token model leverages its flywheel to increase the staking yield that flows to its LSD, while Rocket Pool's use of minipools decreases the amount of control any single party has over the protocol.
The DEXs that hold deep LSD liquidity stand to benefit from swap fees generated by the increased activity around these tokens. Even with withdrawals enabled, there is still a time delay to receive deposits, and some users may demand instant liquidity. The current withdrawal queue is about 12 days.
Also, liquidity remains an important piece in the usefulness and composability of LSDs. For example, many users like the idea of using LSDs as collateral against loans. They can earn ETH staking rewards while also increasing the productivity of their capital. Capital efficiency baby. However, a key requirement to be a listed collateral in a lending market is liquidity. If you default on your loan, liquidators must sell your collateral on a DEX to close the loan!
This dashboard tracks LSD swap volume flowing through the DEX market. While Uniswap is the clear leader in total DEX volume, it's Curve that processes around 66% of all LSD volume. Much of that is driven by Curve's $1.5B of stETH liquidity that accounts for 60% of all LSD volume. If LSDs continue growing at the pace most in the industry anticipate, this is a worthy metric to track DEX performance and sustainability.
Have an excellent weekend!
- Dan Smith
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