Thursday, February 2, 2023

Ford's farewell

Two moves epitomizing disruption.

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    The Fiesta Is Over

    Rationalizing your business in an already high-cost, low-return industry in the midst of multiple paradigm shifts is no picnic. Look no further than Ford and its Fiesta.

    The almost 50-year-old subcompact has been one of Europe's most popular models. Less than a decade ago, the automaker was celebrating it becoming the UK's best-selling car of all time.

    By late last year, Ford was bidding Fiesta a sentimental farewell. And by 2025, the compact Focus will follow suit.

    A lot has been written about how disruptive the switch to batteries and rise of software will be for automotive incumbents steeped in crankshafts and combustion. The Fiesta and Focus are exemplars of this long-predicted turmoil coming to fruition.

    Ford Fiestas on the Rhine River in Duesseldorf, Germany, in 2019. Photographer: Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg

    This all started in 2018, when Ford made the radical decision to move away from being a full-line automaker, shrinking its passenger-car lineup down only to higher-margin performance models like the Mustang. To foot what would be a massive bill to develop EVs that work like rolling connected devices, Ford needed to concentrate resources on the SUVs and trucks that actually make money.

    This transformation has taken longer to play out in Europe, where pickups aren't nearly the phenomenon they are in the US and small cars are still big-sellers.

    But while Europe's compact and subcompact segments have remained relevant, they're also extremely fragmented. Eight of the 11 best-selling models in the region last year were small cars, according to market researcher Jato Dynamics. The top-volume Peugeot 208 and runner-up Dacia Sandero were the only two to top 200,000 registrations, and not by much. A dozen other models exceeded 100,000 units.

    This amounts to a counter-productive brawl within an intense broader battle. Europe has seven mass-market car brands with roughly between 4.5% and 6% share of the overall passenger vehicle market, according to the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association.

    The concern for European countries is that more automakers will follow in Ford's footsteps and decide that duking it out for these low- to no-return sales isn't worthwhile. The automaker is backfilling assembly plants that used to make Fiestas with other models, but its factory in Saarlouis, Germany, will run out of road once the Focus is phased out.

    The IG Metall union has said that Ford plans to cut about 3,200 jobs in Europe and shift some product-development work to the US. There's understandably fear of further losses in Saarlouis, where morale among roughly 4,500 workers is low.

    The carmaker opted in June of last year to build EVs in Valencia, Spain, instead of Saarlouis, in part because labor leaders near the Mediterranean Sea offered more competitive wages, according to people familiar with the matter. The company is in talks with around 15 potential investors for the German plant, including China's BYD, said the people, who declined to be named because the talks are private.

    Ford has declined to comment on development job cuts or talks with potential suitors for Saarlouis, with a spokesman saying only that no decisions have been made.

    Ford's Focus factory in Saarlouis, Germany, in 2019. Photographer: Bloomberg/Bloomberg

    Further pullback by Ford will be painful to watch. Its lineup of affordable yet reliable small cars and sedans were mainstays among European students, young professionals and families for decades. Princess Diana famously owned a black Escort RS, and preferred to drive it rather than be driven.

    Ford hasn't shied away from the emotions inside and outside the company about cars like the Fiesta going away. In a two-minute-long video released in October, a man rolls up to a house to read a bedtime story to his grandson about "a car for the people."

    "Sometimes it went fast, sometimes it went slow, but it always, always went," the grandfather reads. "Until, one day, it didn't anymore. Not because it couldn't, not because it wouldn't, but because its job was done."

    The video then cuts to an old Fiesta in the driveway and pans over to the garage, which opens and reveals both a battery-powered Ford and an electric plug on the wall. This next story is only just beginning. — By Stefan Nicola and William Wilkes

    News Briefs

    Have a Listen

    This week on the Zero podcast, Bloomberg Green reporter Akshat Rathi talks to billionaire investor Chamath Palihapitiya about climate tech investing and the limits to imitating Warren Buffett. Listen to the episode and subscribe now on Apple, Spotify, or Google to get new episodes every Thursday.

    Before You Go

    Porsche's Panamera. Photographer: Martyn Lucy/Getty Images Europe

    Drivers dreaming of a touch of luxury thought their luck was in after the dealership appeared to be offering a Porsche Panamera for just 124,000 yuan ($18,000), a fraction of the actual 998,000-yuan starting price. Upon realizing its mistake, the dealership in the northern city of Yinchuan took down the incorrect information immediately. A Porsche spokeswoman said the carmaker negotiated "an agreeable outcome" with the first person who made an online reservation regarding the one vehicle the dealership had in stock.

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