Remember us? Introducing the first DA Watchlist...

We know we've been MIA - let us make it up to you.

Unsubscribe First - we owe you an honest acknowledgment. We haven't issued an alert in a while. We know that. Sorry about that.   Here's what happened and where we're going.   We spent time looking hard at our process. The portfolio had some positions that weren't working, the market environment got complicated, and rather than force alerts we weren't fully convicted on, we paused. That was the right call. But silence isn't a service, and you subscribed for a reason.   So here's what we're changing - and we think it actually makes the product better.   Going forward, Direction Alerts is moving to a two-stage model. Every week, we'll publish a watchlist of stocks that meet our screening criteria - oversold, under pressure, fundamentally intact, with analyst consensus still constructive. You'll get that analysis regardless of whether anything has confirmed as a reversal yet.   Then, and only then, when price action confirms that sellers have actually exhausted themselves - a key level reclaimed, a volume reversal, a catalyst that clears the overhang - we'll issue a formal alert with a specific entry zone, stop-loss, and time horizon.   The tradeoff is honest: we'll probably give up a few percentage points by not entering at the absolute bottom. But we'll also stop catching falling knives. Given what we've seen in the portfolio, that tradeoff is worth it.   We turned some dials and pushed on some levers to tighten our screening criteria. Here's the first watchlist that came out of it.   Before we get into the watchlist - a quick update on the portfolio.   It hasn't all been pain. Two of our recent alerts have played out well. Marvell Technology (MRVL), alerted at $81.22, is trading at $98.17 as of writing - a gain of roughly +21%. Netflix (NFLX), alerted at $82.94, is at $92.24 as of writing - up roughly +11%. Neither is a home run, but both validated the core thesis: oversold quality companies with intact fundamentals can and do recover. That's exactly the kind of setup we're hunting for.   The rest of the portfolio has been tougher, and we're not going to paper over that. The process changes we're making are a direct response to those lessons.   Now — 4 stocks made this week's watchlist. What made the cut:   📉 A $2.77 trillion software platform - down 33% from its October high - with RSI of 21 and 53 out of 53 analysts still rating it a Buy. The business grew revenue 17% last quarter. Every analyst on Wall Street sees upside from here. The selloff is almost entirely macro.   📉 A fast-casual restaurant franchisor - down 57% from its all-time high - that opened a record 493 new restaurants last year while same-store sales softened. EBITDA grew 15% anyway. Franchisees are still signing leases and building stores. The market is pricing in brand failure. The franchisees are disagreeing with that verdict.   📉 A discount retailer that beat Q4 earnings by 20%, grew same-store sales 4.3% with every month above 3.5% - and got hit anyway because its 2026 guidance came in slightly below analyst hopes on tariff uncertainty. The underlying business didn't change. The expectations did.   📉 A business services compounder currently trading 24% below its recent high - not because of weak results, but because it announced a major strategic acquisition two weeks ago and the market is discounting the regulatory uncertainty. The most recent quarterly results showed record revenue, 8.9% year-over-year growth, and raised guidance. Why aren't these alerts yet?   Because we've been on the wrong side of "the thesis is right but the timing isn't." We've tightened our process specifically to avoid that.   All four of these setups are compelling on fundamentals. None of them have given us the price action confirmation we need: a key moving average reclaimed, a volume reversal signaling institutional accumulation, or a catalyst that clears the specific overhang driving each selloff.   When that happens - for any of them - we'll issue a formal alert with a specific entry zone, stop-loss level, and time horizon. Until then, we watch.   The full breakdown of all four setups - the thesis, the data, and exactly what we're waiting for on each - is live on the blog now.   Read the Full 4-Stock Watchlist Analysis   To your process, Direction Alerts   P.S. One of the four just reported earnings. Beat on revenue. Beat on EPS. Raised guidance. It's a strong operational result. The stock still hasn't confirmed a reversal. That's why we wait for the signal, not just the story.   See the Full Watchlist Direction Alerts is provided to you for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell a particular security or a solicitation of offers to buy or sell a particular security. Direction Alerts may make available certain information related to trading strategies and stock prices for educational and information purposes only; any information made available should not be construed as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company or security.   You are receiving this email because we have recently relaunched Direction Alerts and at one point you were an active subscriber. We hope you enjoy our new format and content but if not, please Click here to unsubscribe.

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