Thursday, March 12, 2026

Next Africa: Dangote scores

Aliko Dangote gets boost from war
Read in browser

Welcome to Next Africa, a daily newsletter on where the continent stands now — and where it's headed. Sign up here to have it delivered to your email. In today's edition, we look at a new monopoly in Nigeria as well as:

  • Assets among those worst-hit by the Middle East war
  • Plans for a new power plant in Kenya
  • And Senegal's race to prepare for an Olympic event

He Wins, Again

Africa's richest man got what he wanted.

When his $20 billion refinery began operations in 2024, Aliko Dangote pressured Nigeria's government to halt fuel imports — fighting with watchdogs, traders and the state oil company.

This week, the regulator froze import permits for gasoline, shutting a supply line in a major win for the billionaire amid war in the Middle East that's disrupted global energy logistics.

Dangote marketed his Lagos refinery as critical to ending the paradox of Africa's top crude producer having to import gasoline. At this moment of global volatility, it's poised to offer a buffer against external shocks at higher returns.

But the suspension of imports has also stripped Nigerians of options.

The move hands Dangote control of Nigeria's fuel market.

Data from the oil marketers' association whose members ship fuels — and are now sidelined — show prices for his petroleum products are higher than imported alternatives.

Nigerians will now buy only from him, and will do this at a premium.

For critics, it echoes the cement industry, where import restrictions helped Dangote build the vast wealth that propelled him to the top of Africa's rich list.

The specter of monopoly power — an allegation he disputes because he insists the regulator is still allowing cheap imports — has returned.

It's a huge gamble for the country: The refinery is still ramping up and operating at about 78% capacity. The plant supplied 64% of Nigeria's gasoline requirement last month, leaving a daily deficit of 20 million liters (5.3 million gallons) that imported stocks covered, underscoring the risks.

At issue is whether Africa's most populous nation can entrust its fuel security and industrial ambitions to one billionaire. Nduka Orjinmo

Desalter tanks and pipework at the Dangote Industries Ltd. oil refinery and fertilizer plant site in the Ibeju Lekki district of Lagos, Nigeria, on Monday, May 22, 2023. Aliko Dangote, Africa's richest person, announced the opening of a mega refinery in Nigeria — seven years late — to a backdrop of skepticism about how fast it will really be able to ramp up. Photographer: Benson Ibeabuchi/Bloomberg
The Dangote Industries oil refinery and fertilizer plant in Lagos in 2023.
Photographer: Benson Ibeabuchi/Bloomberg

What Everyone's Reading 

Two oil tankers were hit in Iraqi waters, the latest in a string of attacks on ships in the Persian Gulf that are raising risks to global energy supply from the deepening Middle East war. The International Energy Agency approved its largest release yet of emergency oil reserves yesterday as the conflict exposes the fragility of modern travel, with airlines left reeling.

Dubai International Airport briefly halted operations on Wednesday after drones smashed down at the facility, resulting in four injuries at the world's busiest international hub. The widening war with Iran continues to disrupt travel with more than 46,000 flight cancellations across the region since the conflict began on Feb. 28. Bloomberg's Leen Al-Rashdan reports.
WATCH: Dubai International Airport briefly halted operations yesterday. Bloomberg's Leen Al-Rashdan reports.

Egyptian assets are among the Middle East's worst hit by the war, a major stress test for grueling International Monetary Fund-backed reforms meant to protect against future crises. Although far from the missiles striking the Gulf, billions of dollars in portfolio investment exited, bonds fell and its currency dropped to a record low.

Mali will set up a task force with judicial powers to oversee gold mining and quarrying sites in the West African nation. Despite a reinforced legal framework and ongoing enforcement since 2020, the industry continues to face illegal operations, clandestine gold panning and illicit mineral trafficking.

Kenya plans to build a 1,200-megawatt gas-fired plant as it ramps up electricity output to meet growing demand. East Africa's biggest economy is seeking transaction advisers to design and structure the project, which will cost an estimated $2.9 billion, Energy Principal Secretary Alex Wachira said.

Microsoft is making a push for more Africans to adopt its artificial-intelligence tools as the US tech giant competes with China's DeepSeek. It plans to train 3 million Africans on its AI technology this year and partnered with MTN to sell the Microsoft 365 suit of apps together with its Copilot digital assistant to top African telecoms provider's 300 million subscribers.

The European Union's financial support for Rwandan troops helping to fight an Islamic State-linked insurgency in Mozambique expires in May and there are no plans to extend it, sources say. The bloc in 2024 approved €20 million ($23 million) of assistance for the Rwanda Defence Force operating in the gas-rich Cabo Delgado province.

A Rwandan soldier walks in front of a burned truck near Palma, Cabo Delgado, Mozambique on September 22, 2021. - Since July 2021 a contingent of a thousand Rwandan soldiers and policemen is deployed to Mozambique to fight insurgents that were terrorising populations. The Rwanda Defence Forces (RDF) declared few victories among which the liberation of Mocimboia Da Praia which was occupied by jihadist for almost a year. (Photo by Simon WOHLFAHRT / AFP) (Photo by SIMON WOHLFAHRT/AFP via Getty Images) Photographer: SIMON WOHLFAHRT/AFP
A Rwandan soldier Cabo Delgado, Mozambique in 2021.
Photographer: Simon Wohlfahrt/AFP/Getty Images

Quote of the Week

"As I've made clear in meetings I've had, the US is running out of patience."

Leo Brent Bozell

US ambassador to South Africa

Bozell was commenting on the relationship between Washington and Pretoria and business opportunities between the nations amid strained diplomatic ties.

Last Word

Senegalese Prime Minister Ousmane Sonko urged the swift settlement of unpaid contractor invoices so work can resume on a flagship waterfront redevelopment in the capital, Dakar, as it prepares to host the Summer Youth Olympic Games, the first such event in Africa. The delays underscore the fiscal constraints the West African nation faces after President Bassirou Diomaye Faye's administration discovered billions of dollars of previously undisclosed debt that led the IMF to suspend a $1.8 billion funding program.

Ayo, the mascot of Dakar 2026 Youth Olympic Games, awaits the arrival of Senegal's Football Team players and winners of the Africa Cup of Nations (CAN) for of a reception at the Palais de la Republique in Dakar on January 20, 2026. (Photo by SEYLLOU / AFP via Getty Images)
Ayo, the mascot of the Dakar Youth Olympics, on Jan. 20.
Photographer: Seyllou/AFP/Getty Images

More From Bloomberg

Enjoying Next Africa? You might also like:

We're improving your newsletter experience and we'd love your feedback. If something looks off, help us fine-tune your experience by reporting it here.

Follow us

https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/iDRduxloBOSA/v0/-1x-1.png iconhttps://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/i5QE5__h22bE/v0/-1x-1.png iconhttps://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/iiSKUb3JWcLI/v0/-1x-1.png iconhttps://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/i_JvbwNnmprk/v0/-1x-1.png iconhttps://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/iXt_II64P_EM/v0/-1x-1.png icon

You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Next Africa newsletter. If a friend forwarded you this message, sign up here to get it in your inbox.

Unsubscribe
Bloomberg.com
Contact Us
Bloomberg L.P.
731 Lexington Avenue
New York, NY 10022
Ads Powered By Liveintent|Ad Choices

No comments:

Post a Comment

There hasn’t been a single losing decade for these stocks since 1887

Thanks to one special market force Sponsored ...