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Did BlackRock Build A New Floor for Archer's Stock Price?
Author: Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Article Posted: 1/26/2026.
Key Takeaways
- BlackRock has increased its passive stake in the company, signaling a vote of confidence from the institutional investment community.
- The company maintains an exceptional liquidity position supported by a strategic manufacturing partnership that preserves capital for certification efforts.
- High short interest, combined with rising institutional ownership, creates a favorable supply-and-demand setup that could drive the stock price higher.
For the electric aviation sector, 2026 has ushered in a defining market theme: the flight to quality. In the industry's early years, investors spread capital across dozens of startups, treating the space like a venture-capital lottery. That speculative phase has largely ended. The market is now ruthlessly separating winners from losers based on one main question: which companies have the resources to survive the valley of death.
For eVTOL developers, the valley of death is the perilous stretch between building a functional prototype and receiving final government certification to carry passengers — a period of high cash burn and no revenue. As this separation unfolds, retail investors are watching institutional behavior for clues. Pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and large asset managers generally don't chase hype; they rely on audits, risk analysis and deep due diligence. When these giants take a sizable position in a pre-revenue company, it signals the firm has cleared some of the most stringent financial and technical tests Wall Street offers.
The 8.1% Stake: BlackRock’s Vote of Confidence
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At the end of January, that institutional signal appeared for Archer Aviation (NYSE: ACHR). A recently amended Schedule 13G filing with the SEC shows BlackRock Inc. (NYSE: BLK) now holds an 8.1% passive stake in Archer — roughly 53 million shares.
The filing type matters. Passive investors who believe management is executing well use Schedule 13G; activists who buy to press for changes use Schedule 13D. BlackRock's purchase is therefore a tacit endorsement of Archer's current leadership and strategy.
Owning nearly 10% of a company creates a stability that press releases alone cannot deliver. But why buy now? The likely answer is Archer's resilience: in aerospace, firms rarely fail because the technology doesn't work; they fail because they run out of money before proving it does.
The Financial Fortress: $2 Billion in Protection
Archer enters 2026 with a financial profile that is arguably best-in-class for the sector. The company reports total liquidity near $2 billion. For risk-averse investors like BlackRock, however, the most telling metric is the current ratio.
Archer reports a current ratio of 18.19. For context, a ratio of 1.0 generally indicates a company has one dollar in short-term assets for every dollar of short-term liabilities. A ratio of 18.19 is exceptional — implying that for every dollar of short-term obligations, Archer holds over $18 in liquid assets. That level of liquidity largely removes the near-term risk of emergency fundraising that can destroy shareholder value.
That financial cushion is reinforced by Archer's strategic partnership with automotive giant Stellantis (NYSE: STLA).
Where many aerospace startups must sink hundreds of millions into factory construction, Stellantis is absorbing most capital costs and supplying manufacturing expertise for the high-volume facility in Covington, Georgia. That arrangement lets Archer deploy its cash primarily toward R&D, flight testing and certification — a highly efficient capital-allocation model that appeals to institutional analysts.
Archer And Joby: Why Money Is Moving
BlackRock's purchase is more meaningful viewed against the broader sector. A clear divergence has formed between Archer and its primary competitor, Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY). For years the two traded in lockstep; 2026 has brought a decoupling.
While Archer is attracting institutional inflows, Joby has faced valuation headwinds. In December 2025, Goldman Sachs initiated coverage on Joby with a Sell rating, and in late January 2026 Weiss Ratings reiterated a sell. Analysts cited concerns that Joby's valuation was too high relative to near-term growth prospects.
That contrast has created a classic pair-trade dynamic: selling an overvalued stock while buying a direct competitor perceived as undervalued. Recent market activity suggests capital is rotating out of premium-priced Joby and into Archer, increasingly viewed as a value play in the eVTOL space. BlackRock's timing aligns with that rotation, implying they see Archer as an undervalued asset in the sector.
Friction in the Float: Bears vs. Bulls
The heavy institutional accumulation by BlackRock and Stellantis creates an interesting tension in market mechanics, particularly for short sellers. Current short interest in Archer is high — roughly 15% of the float is sold short, equating to about 90.4 million shares that will eventually need to be repurchased.
That setup raises the potential for short-squeeze dynamics. Here's how it could unfold:
- Locked supply: Long-term holders like BlackRock and Stellantis typically keep shares for years, removing them from daily trading supply.
- The trap: If positive news pushes Archer's stock higher, short sellers incur losses and must buy shares to cover.
- The squeeze: With institutions reluctant to sell, fewer shares are available, forcing short sellers to bid the price higher to exit, creating a feedback loop of buying pressure.
With 15% of the float shorted and supply tightening due to institutional purchases, the stock is coiled like a spring.
A Convergence of Catalysts
Market reaction is already evident. Archer's shares rallied about 8% over the past 30 days before a late-January sector slump. Despite that pullback, Archer has shown relative resilience, suggesting institutional buying may be establishing a firmer price floor.
From a technical standpoint, the TradeSmith Health Indicator recently placed Archer in the Green Zone, a signal that the stock has stabilized and entered a healthier trend.
The investment thesis for Archer in 2026 is taking shape: the company has secured key technology through NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), gained manufacturing capacity via Stellantis, and built a substantial liquidity runway.
Now, with BlackRock's 8.1% stake providing an institutional seal of approval, the risks tied to the valley of death appear materially reduced.
For investors, the combination of smart-money validation, comparative value versus competitors, and potential short-squeeze mechanics makes Archer a standout candidate in the race for the skies.
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*Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.
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