Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Mamdani won't be ready for this snowball

Child care isn't as easy as a blizzard.
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Today's Agenda

Mamdani's Fiscal Snowball

If you're two months into your mayoralty and one of your biggest scandals is a snowball fight in Washington Square Park, I'd say things are going relatively well.

In Zohran Mamdani's New York, the streets are plowed. The sidewalks are shoveled. The snow sculptures are cheerful. Of course, there's always room for improvement, see: danger soup. But the mayor's hands-on response to the city'srecent snowstorm has been met with mostly rave reviews, despite lighthearted chuckles over his "socialist snow corps."

But governing is relatively easy when the stakes are snow days and snowballs. What about when the stakes are higher — say, free day care?

When it comes to child care, Allison Schrager worries Mamdani is flirting with fiscal nihilism. In her eyes, the mayor's plan to tax high earners and corporations to provide families with free services starting when a child is 6 weeks old is "poorly structured" and "may cause serious economic damage."

"New York City already spends a fortune on its residents, and provides subpar services," she writes. "With its existing obligations and variable tax revenue, increasing the budget another 9% is certainly imprudent, to put it mildly."

In the event that Mamdani is unable to secure the tax, Allison says all New Yorkers may need to foot the bill — "in the form of higher property taxes now and, later, a bailout of the pension and health-care funds he plans to raid."

Such taxes will likely lack salience, Allison warns. "Politicians have become addicted to promising more benefits — tax credits, health-care subsidies, now child care — that someone else pays for," she writes. "Often the middle class ends up paying anyway. The cost of corporate taxes, for example, are largely borne by workers, but most people don't realize why their wages are lower."

Mamdani may have beat the blizzard, but this amounts to a fiscal storm he might not be ready for.

Bonus Tax ReadingTax receipts are up, which means inequality is too. — Justin Fox

Chickenbutterfruit

Well, folks! Can't say I didn't warn ya:

If you took my advice and didn't listen to President Donald Trump's State of the Union address, good for you!! I envy your good night's sleep. If you didn't take my advice, welcome to the club! I failed to heed my own warnings and chose to listen to 107 minutes of … what, exactly? For the life of me I can't remember, but there was one moment when my ears perked up: "Chickenbutterfruit." For a brief second, I was confounded by the idea of such a food item, but upon relistening, it was actually just "chicken, butter, fruit" quickly rattled off with little air between the words. Here's the full quote:

The cost of chicken, butter, fruit, hotels, automobiles, rent is lower today than when I took office by a lot. Even beef, which was very high, is starting to come down significantly. Just hold on a little while. We are getting it down and soon you will see numbers that few people would think were possible to achieve just a short time ago.

Hmmm. Asking your voters to "hold on a little while" seems like a tall order, especially with midterms on the horizon. Nia-Malika Henderson agrees: "The economy as Americans experience it is much more complicated, with some prices on everyday goods rising since Trump took office and some declining."

Although the president actually did what his party has been begging him to do for the better half of a year — give a speech focused on affordability — she says his talk of "the golden age of America" was at odds with economic reality. Read the whole thing.

Telltale Power Charts

We already know that AI is an energy suck. But which countries stand to gain and which ones stand to lose from the technology? In Germany, Chris Bryant notes how Siemens fumbled the ball when it spun off its energy subsidiary, which has seen its value rise about 2,300% since 2023 thanks to its booming gas turbine business. India, meanwhile, hopes to cash in at exactly the right time. Andy Mukherjee says the country is positioning itself as an attractive "virtual battery" for US hyperscalers — perhaps to the detriment of its own code-writers. But will America even need all that power if it builds a 9.2-gigawatt gas-fired power facility in Ohio? There's no way to know, but Liam Denning thinks the economics behind the $33 billion project "are a clanging alarm bell" for the Trump administration. "While hyperscalers clearly are willing to pay up for power, locking in large slugs of expensive, carbon-emitting new supply for decades presents a risk to both them and ordinary ratepayers, especially if AI demand turns out to be less than advertised," he warns.

Oof. Sometimes you don't even need a chart to visualize a data drop-off: When members of the International Energy Agency gathered for their biennial meeting in 2022Javier Blas says their communique mentioned the phrase "net zero" 13 times. In 2024, that figure rose to 15. But at last week's gathering, it was only uttered once. "The word-count collapse is illustrative of the direction of global energy policy: Net zero is, effectively, dead," he writes. Even in its buzziest moment, Javier says the climate goal seemed far-fetched: "One had to believe, as a matter of faith, that consumption of oil, natural gas and coal would drop following stylized cliff-like curves. With current energy-related annual CO2 emissions running above 35,000 million metric tons, reducing them to something that would equal net zero was an impossible task."

Further Reading

Waging war with Iran is in no one's best interest. — Bloomberg editorial board

The BAFTA Tourette's scandal may fade. The dialogue shouldn't. — Pamela Rae Schuller

Race is the elephant in the room of US foreign policy. — Andreas Kluth

King Charles should take a lesson from his Spanish cousin. — Howard Chua-Eoan

China's gold rush comes to the duty-free island of Hainan. — Shuli Ren

Delhi's AI Impact Summit was evidence of a global deadlock. — Catherine Thorbecke

Factories can come back to the US. Jobs? Not so much. — Thomas Black

ICYMI

Cuba's deadly clash with a speedboat from Florida.

Kalshi accused MrBeast's video editor of insider trading.

Larry Summers retires from Harvard after Epstein revelations.

The Potomac River sewer spill could take months to clean up.

Japan's "dementia money" problem puts trillions at risk.

Kickers

The beauty of a nose job no one notices.

Maybe don't give AI the nuclear codes.

Benny Blanco's podcast has a foot problem.

Awards show cuisine looks like budget airline food.

Notes: Please send grapes and ice cream and feedback to Jessica Karl at jkarl9@bloomberg.net.

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