Sunday, December 21, 2025

We've timed the next bear market

Bear markets don't happen overnight (even though it can feel that way). They happen slowly... and then all at once. Like a landslide.
 

Dear Reader,

Most investors look at the market from a bird's-eye view.

They track whether the S&P 500 is up or down for the day... the week... the month... the year.

And of course, when you look at the market this way – from a comfortable distance – it's easy to see it as a rollercoaster that can only go up...

A bull that can't be beat.

However, before the market opens tomorrow, I'm urging you to take a moment today and zoom in.

Because THAT is where you can see the cracks beginning to form... and the shadow of the bear beginning to take shape.

As you'll see, many bear markets don't happen overnight (even though it can feel that way). 

They happen slowly... and then all at once. Like a landslide.

That's the slow slide we're starting to see today – from gains to losses.

And it's clear as day when you stop looking at the market from a comfortable distance and start looking at the individual stocks.

... In 2023, 64% of stocks posted gains for the year.

... In 2024, that number ROSE to 66%!

... But now that trend has reversed – significantly... In the final stretch of 2025, it's slipped to 59%.

Put another way, four out of every ten stocks in the market are currently sitting on LOSSES...

While fewer and fewer stocks are doing the heavy lifting to push the market higher.

If the stock market is a scale, with a bull market on one side, and a bear market on the other... Well, it's clear that we're nearing the middle of that scale.

Which is why I'm warning that the final weeks of this year mark a critical tipping point for millions of investors.

People make notoriously terrible financial decisions surrounding these tipping points.

Fear and uncertainty drive them to move in and out of the market at the exact WRONG times, with devastating consequences.

So, I'm doing everything I can this week to alleviate that uncertainty – by showing you how to time the arrival of this tipping point – down to the month and day.

That's why I urge you to watch my urgent end-of-the-year summit before it goes offline.

In it, I explain everything you need to know about how to prepare for the year ahead, including exactly when to sell any stock you own...

And the No. 1 step to take before January 1 to protect your portfolio.

Regards,

Marc Chaikin
Founder, Chaikin Analytics

 

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