Thursday, December 18, 2025

How to dismantle climate science

One research center at a time |
View in browser
Bloomberg

It's been labeled "scientific vandalism" and "a national security risk." The Trump administration's plan to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research has outraged scientists and policymakers.

Today's newsletter looks at the implications of shutting down a climate research facility that's key to providing data and analysis on everything from the ozone hole to hurricanes. A warning from Europe: the impact could be felt across the planet

In other news, BP just appointed a new CEO who is expected to return the fossil fuel giant to its core oil and gas focus after its failed pivot toward renewables. And if you think holiday candy seems more expensive this year, you're not alone. We tell you why chocolate costs are soaring.

Did you get this newsletter somewhere other than your inbox? Subscribe to Green Daily for more free reads on climate, sustainable investing and people moves. 

NCAR is next

By Zahra HirjiEric Roston, and Will Wade

The US plans to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research, a key climate-science hub in Boulder, Colorado, which the Trump administration says strayed from its mission decades ago by taking up climate change research. The announcement came as a shock to the scientific community as well as Colorado officials, who have vowed to fight the proposal.

Russell Vought, director of the Office of Management and Budget, said on X Tuesday night that the center, which is sponsored and funded by the National Science Foundation, would be dismantled.

A senior White House official on Wednesday called NCAR a stronghold for left-wing climate activism. Following a review, the official said, NSF will break up NCAR to eliminate climate research activities, while functions such as weather modeling and supercomputing will be moved to another site or entity.

The move, first reported by USA Today, advances the Trump administration's aggressive attacks on climate science and policy. The administration has shuttered research programs and slashed jobs across agencies that do work related to climate change, though some of those moves have been reversed by the courts. It has also rolled back environmental regulations and moved to block some renewable energy projects while strongly promoting fossil fuels.

President Donald Trump has called climate change a "hoax" and a "con job" and dismissed policies to counter it as "The Green New Scam." Scientists are nearly unanimous in agreement that the atmosphere is warming due to human activities, primarily the burning of fossil fuels. Last year was the hottest since record-keeping began in the 19th century, and the 10 warmest years have all been in the last decade.

The National Center For Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado. Photographer: Jen Lobo/iStock Editorial

NCAR has 800-plus employees and received $123 million in core funding from the NSF in fiscal year 2025. Since its founding in 1960, generations of scientists have visited its famous Mesa Laboratory, a striking concrete structure designed by I.M. Pei.

The lab's researchers have made breakthroughs including one of the first major global climate-science workhorses, the Community Earth System Model; launched in 1983, it remains one of the most powerful and tested ways for scientists to explain the effect of greenhouse gases on the physical world. NCAR has also long worked with businesses to train people and generate data useful to industry.

"Every country in the world would love to have something like" the center, said Andrew Dessler, a professor of atmospheric science at Texas A&M University, calling the plan for its breakup "scientific vandalism."

"It is the cornerstone to climate science in this country," Kim Cobb, a climate scientist at Brown University, said of NCAR. The facility had "profoundly" shaped her research and that of many other researchers around the world, she said.

"To shutter this facility is, frankly, a national security risk," Cobb said, given its cutting-edge work on extreme weather and across fields including machine learning and AI.

US President Donald Trump on June 1, 2017, when he announced his decision to pull out of the Paris climate agreement Photographer: Win McNamee/Getty Images North America

NSF said in a statement that it is "reviewing the structure of the research and observational capabilities" of the center, and that it will explore changing "the scope of modeling and forecasting research and operations to concentrate on needs such as seasonal weather prediction, severe storms, and space weather."

If shuttered, the impacts will be felt beyond the US, given the country's outsized contribution to global weather and climate science, European institutions warned. Governments across the planet rely on data gathered from satellites, ground-based systems and research facilities across the world. 

"Any loss of data reduces our collective ability to understand the Earth system," said the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, a research center that belongs to the European Union's Copernicus Earth observation agency. "Weather and climate know no borders."

Read the full story on Bloomberg.com and subscribe for unlimited access to all stories on how the US administration is trying to dismantle climate research centres.

A "cluster bomb approach"

400 
Anti-science actions taken by US President Donald Trump on his first term, according to the nonprofit Union of Concerned Scientists

US off its game

"To use World Cup parlance, it is an own goal for the country and the planet"
Ralf Toumi
Director of the Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment at the Imperial College in London
NCAR has made countless pioneering contributions from the ozone hole to hurricanes and dismantling it will no doubt diminish humanity's understanding of the atmosphere, Toumi said

BP gets back to basics

By Keira Wright and Ruth Liao

Meg O'Neill's rapid rise to the top of one of the world's biggest fossil-fuel companies has been unencumbered by doubt. At a moment when oil executives are still being pressed to move away from hydrocarbons, she has a different argument: that the world is nowhere near done with them.

So when BP Plc stunned markets by naming an external chief executive officer for the first time, the choice of O'Neill signaled more than a leadership change. It marked a recalibration for BP, bruised by a failed pivot toward renewable energy, years of uneven financial performance, and pressure from activist investor Elliott Investment Management to return the company to its core oil and gas focus.

Meg O'Neill Photographer: Brent Lewin/Bloomberg

O'Neill, who has led Australian oil and gas giant Woodside Energy Group Ltd. since 2021, arrives with a reputation for operational rigor and a belief that natural gas, particularly liquefied natural gas, is a long-term necessity. To supporters, she is exactly the leader BP needs. To critics, she represents an industry choosing regression over reinvention.

"Her appointment as CEO seems well-aligned with BP's reversal from green energy back to core oil and gas profitability," said Susan Sakmar, a University of Houston Law Center visiting assistant professor and expert on the oil and gas market. "Good news for BP."

She takes on her new role amid a wider political split over energy. US President Donald Trump's revived "drill, baby, drill" mantra and promises to roll back years of climate rules that, he argues, drove up energy costs have led to a renewed emphasis on oil and gas. And while Asian consumers are hungry for more fossil fuels, BP in Europe faces a different reality of tougher carbon-reduction mandates, stricter disclosure rules and regulatory pressures to show progress toward cutting emissions.

O'Neill will have to navigate both worlds at once.

Read the full story on Bloomberg.com.

Cocoa costs soars

By Emma Court

Christmas candy shoppers in the UK are set to feel the climate pinch this year. Prices of popular chocolate boxes have as much as doubled over the past four years, according to a new analysis by the nonprofit Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit. 

Rising cocoa commodity prices in recent years have reflected climate shocks such as drought taking a bite out of West African harvests. Other ingredients, including sugar and milk, have also been impacted by climate change, the report says.

The uptick in commodity costs is increasingly filtering through to consumers at the store in the form of higher prices and ingredient and labeling changes. Some chocolate makers have swapped in cheaper ingredients, which has sometimes affected their ability to call their products chocolate at all. (Many countries have labeling rules outlining how much cocoa a product needs to contain to be considered chocolate.)

The ECIU report looked at brands like Nestle's Quality Street, Mars's Celebrations and Mondelez's Roses and Heroes that sell assortments of chocolates, as well as Terry's Chocolate Orange, owned by Carambar & Co. It found prices are rising and boxes are shrinking. The analysis thus relied on average prices per 100 grams, collecting data from supermarket websites, archived webpages and news articles.

Mondelez and Mars said in statements that higher input costs, particularly for cocoa, and other business factors are driving shifts in pricing and package sizes, while NestlĂ© noted that the cost of manufacturing and other things affect each year's new line-up.  

Carambar & Co did not immediately return a request for comment.

Subscribe to the Business of Food newsletter for a weekly look at how the world feeds itself in a changing economy and climate.

This week's Zero 

The Argentine flag  Photographer: Sarah Pabst/Bloomberg

Despite endless financial difficulties, Argentina has seen a remarkable increase in clean energy over the past decade. It has gone from practically zero to almost 18% of its electricity sourced from renewables. In doing so, Argentina has overcome a challenge faced by many countries that are considered uninvestable by major financial institutions. Sebastian Kind, former undersecretary at the ministry of energy in Argentina, joins Akshat Rathi on Zero to tell the story of Argentina's renewables blitz.

Listen now, and subscribe on AppleSpotify or YouTube to get new episodes of Zero every Thursday.

More from Green

Jaycee Pribulsky Source: Apollo Global Management

Apollo Global Management is building out its risk review process to reflect the impact on asset valuations of extreme weather.

The decision comes amid a rise in the damage done to physical assets by floods, storms and wildfires. Apollo, which has been conducting so-called top-down analyses for such risks since 2023, is now broadening that approach to allow for a more granular process to identify company-level risks before closing deals, says Jaycee Pribulsky, Apollo's chief sustainability officer.

"Both private equity and private credit teams are expanding bottom-up, asset-level evaluations of physical and transition risks," she told Bloomberg. "Climate-driven disruptions can directly impact operating costs, supply chains and insurance markets," and that makes financial risk factors "more immediate"

The development feeds into a growing awareness that extreme weather events increasingly have the potential to dramatically alter asset values. That's as managers like Apollo look to reassure investors more broadly that valuation models in private markets are sound.

Read the full story on Bloomberg.com

Galvanize, the asset management firm co-founded by billionaire investor Tom Steyer, has acquired a portfolio of seven industrial properties in the Chicago area as part of a plan to allocate $1.85 billion to buildings that it can decarbonize and resell.

Xcel Energy switched off electricity for about 50,000 customers in Colorado Wednesday to lessen the risk that high winds will topple power lines and start fires.

More from Bloomberg

  • Business of Food for a weekly look at how the world feeds itself in a changing economy and climate, from farming to supply chains to consumer trends
  • Hyperdrive for expert insight into the future of cars
  • Energy Daily for a daily guide to the energy and commodities markets that power the global economy
  • CityLab Daily for top stories, ideas and solutions, from cities around the world
  • Tech In Depth for analysis and scoops about the business of technology

Explore all Bloomberg newsletters.

Follow Us

Like getting this newsletter? Subscribe to Bloomberg.com for unlimited access to trusted, data-driven journalism and subscriber-only insights.


Want to sponsor this newsletter? Get in touch here.

You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Green Daily newsletter. If a friend forwarded you this message, sign up here to get it in your inbox.
Unsubscribe
Bloomberg.com
Contact Us
Bloomberg L.P.
731 Lexington Avenue,
New York, NY 10022
Ads Powered By Liveintent Ad Choices

No comments:

Post a Comment

Join Seeking Alpha's Top Stocks for 2026

Get data-backed insights for 2026 — join for $4.95. Get Ahead in 2026 with Quant-Backed Stock Picks Start the new year strong with Top...