Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Arch Capital Group Ready to Break Through? (ACGL)

 
   
     
   
   
The market has turned sour once again.

Who’s to blame?

Broadcom (AVGO). 

The market hated its earnings report and that started the movement out of AI and into other sectors. 

And if AI and tech falls, so does the market.

Here’s AVGO:

 
 
And here’s the chart for SPY:
 
 
Of course, the Fed did lower rates recently and we still have the Santa Claus Rally to possibly look forward to.

But it’s gotten bearish lately.

Checking in on sentiment, the market is actually more optimistic than it was last week. The Fear & Greed Index has moved up to 52 and is clearly in Neutral mode:

 
 
Meanwhile, Arch Capital Group has been gathering momentum and is charging toward a major resistance level. If it breaks through this long-time ceiling, it could make a nice jump.

Here’s the chart:

 
 
It’s above its 30-week moving average and looks ready to break out of the channel it’s been in since late last year.

A move above $96.80 would break resistance and could lead to a big move up to $116 or higher.

We’ll keep an eye on it.

Happy trading,
—The ProsperityPub Team

We make no future earnings claims, and you may lose money. From 10/02/24 to 09/22/25, the average win rate was 81.2% on live published trades. The average return on options trades was 3.4% over a one day hold time with an average winner of 24.5%
   
 

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