Tuesday, September 2, 2025

Unrest shakes Indonesia’s strongman

Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto needs a solution to help fully douse recent unrest rooted in economic drift since the pandemic and exacerbated by President Donald Trump's tariff wars and political missteps.
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As images of buildings burning and protesters clashing with police across Indonesia flashed online, the parallels with 1998 were inescapable.

Back then, public rage and rioting helped topple Indonesia's dictator Suharto. President Prabowo Subianto still may not be faced with the kind of turmoil that deposed his predecessor and former father-in-law, but he is confronting his biggest test yet.

A bus stop in Jakarta's main business district last week. Photographer: Harry Suhartono/Bloomberg

In truth, the comparisons to the infamous authoritarian emerged well before the violence surged last week, leaving at least six dead.

Prabowo, a former general who won the presidency last year at his third attempt, has sought the reins of state power, and the country's natural resources, to pursue populist goals like free meals and health care.

He's also pushed for a greater role for the military in civilian government and state projects, and redirected dividends from state-run enterprises to a sovereign wealth fund he controls.

A relative calm has settled over the capital, Jakarta, with Prabowo and his ministers pledging to improve conditions for workers and curb government excess, while warning they intend to crack down on further unrest.

He can also rely, for now, on investors not fleeing the country like they did in the late 1990s. That's thanks mainly to the continued support of his finance minister, Sri Mulyani Indrawati, who is seen as a safe pair of hands at the helm of the economy.

Prabowo Subianto. Photographer: Dado Galdieri/Bloomberg

But there's also a sense that Indonesia's new strongman needs a solution to help fully douse the public anger, rooted in economic drift since the pandemic and exacerbated by US President Donald Trump's tariff wars as well as political missteps.

Outrage over lawmaker housing allowances that are nearly 10 times the monthly minimum wage sparked the latest protests, coming on the back of tax hikes and mass layoffs that have disproportionately hit lower-income Indonesians.

Even if the demonstrations subside, the anger will surely persist unless those grievances are addressed. Ramsey Al-Rikabi

Demonstrators gather in front of a police building in Jakarta last week. Photographer: Claudio Pramana/NurPhoto/Getty Images

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Xi is set to stage a major parade tomorrow to mark 80 years since the end of World War II, the first such event in a decade and a chance to showcase China's growing diplomatic sway and military might. China's position in the world has shifted in the past 10 years, its hardware has advanced and its armed forces have been purged of many high-ranking officers. Here's what to watch when soldiers march across Tiananmen Square in the presence of world leaders including Putin and North Korea's Kim Jong Un.

Kim leaving Pyongyang by train yesterday. Source: Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service/AP Photo

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Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's key power broker within the ruling party said he'll resign if Ishiba approves, as party lawmakers mull calling for an early leadership election that might lead to the beleaguered premier's own exit. Liberal Democratic Party Secretary General Hiroshi Moriyama signaled he intends to take responsibility for an election setback in July that saw the ruling coalition lose control of the upper house and several other key members of the LDP are intending to resign too, local media reported.

Ishiba at the LDP headquarters in Tokyo in July. Photographer: Toru Hanai/Bloomberg

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced changes to his Downing Street team in a bid to reset his government and give him more influence over economic policy, after a stuttering first year in power saw his leadership called into question and Labour tank in the polls.

Saudi Arabia is poised to sell more international bonds, a source says, as it looks to cover a budget deficit caused by lower oil prices and high spending on the government's economic-diversification drive.

Thailand's Senate approved a 3.78 trillion baht ($117 billion) annual budget, offering relief to investors concerned about political uncertainty following the sacking of Paetongtarn Shinawatra as prime minister last week.

Shinawatra leaves Government House following her dismissal. Photographer: Valeria Mongelli/Bloomberg

Turkey's main opposition party raised the prospect of the mayor of Ankara being its next presidential candidate, amid a clampdown that's seen its most popular official and several others jailed.

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Chart of the Day

Gold hit a record as the prospect of US Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts and growing concern over the central bank's independence from political interference gave fresh legs to the multiyear rally in precious metals. Gold has risen more than 30% this year, making it one of the best-performing major commodities.

And Finally

The rise of lab-grown diamonds and a downturn in the Chinese luxury retail sector have left the global gems market in crisis, causing a sharp reversal for a Botswanan economy that was the envy of southern Africa due to its diamond deposits, the world's richest. It's a cautionary tale of the consequences of relying on a single commodity for its prosperity.

Uncut diamonds at a sorting center in Gaborone, Botswana. Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

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