Monday, September 1, 2025

New Highs… But Not Everywhere. Here’s Our Map

August In The Books. What September Might Bring
 
   
     
 

New Highs… But Not Everywhere. Here’s Our Map

August In The Books. What September Might Bring
 

August ended with mixed signals. The S&P 500 tagged fresh highs, but the NASDAQ didn’t confirm, the Dow didn’t confirm, and small caps were still well below their peaks.

Under the hood, equal-weight was soft even while the headline index looked fine. That kind of split often leads to a slower, choppier start to the next month.

You also saw the “buy the rumor, sell the news” dynamic in real time. NVIDIA spent a week running into its report… then gave it back. It wasn’t a disaster — it was a reminder to let price confirm and keep risk tight when a crowded story gets noisy.

How we’re approaching the first few sessions:

Breadth first. If more stocks begin to participate (equal-weight firming), the path of least resistance improves.
 
Confirmations matter. When multiple indexes make new highs together, trends travel farther. When they don’t, we favor base hits over big swings.
 
Defined risk. In chop, small debit or credit spreads beat guess-and-hope trades.

None of this requires a crystal ball. It’s just a map: watch equal-weight vs. cap-weight, look for confirmation across indexes, and size appropriately until the tape proves itself.

Enjoy Labor Day — markets are back tomorrow. We’ll be ready with more actionable market insights and defined-risk trade ideas.

To your prosperity,

The ProsperityPub Team


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