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Bryce Paul
Crypto 101
Snowflake's Snowballing Business and Robust Stock Price Outlook
Written by Thomas Hughes. Published 8/28/2025.
Key Points
- Snowflake's accelerating business drives a robust analyst trend and an outlook for new highs.
- New highs are significant because they would break the market from a trading range and potentially lead to a complete reversal.
- Institutional trends align with a rising share price, market reversal, and uptrend.
Snowflake's (NYSE: SNOW) Q2 results underscore the global shift to AI. As infrastructure build‐out accelerates, organizations across industries are adopting AI, driving demand for data services that Snowflake delivers. Its data lake–based platform spans the entire data lifecycle—securely storing, managing, analyzing, and sharing data across cloud environments. Cross‐cloud operability is central to Snowflake's value proposition, establishing it as a cornerstone of enterprise AI infrastructure.
Snowflake's Accelerating Business Leads to Beat‐and‐Raise Quarter
Snowflake delivered a strong quarter, accelerating both year‐over‐year and sequential growth. Net revenue of $1.14 billion rose 31.2% year‐over‐year, outpacing consensus by over 400 basis points on robust customer additions and deeper account penetration.
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Product revenue climbed 32%, comprising nearly all sales. Large customers contributed a 30% increase, while net dollar retention reached 125%. Remaining performance obligations (RPO) expanded 33%, underscoring healthy forward visibility.
Margins remained solid. While GAAP gross margin and profitability saw modest contraction—driven chiefly by non‐cash items—adjusted results were strong, with EPS of $0.35 and positive free cash flow. Adjusted EPS nearly doubled year‐over‐year, topping consensus by more than 3000 basis points, and management expects robust profitability to continue through year-end.
Snowflake's Guidance Will Sustain the Bullish Trend in Analyst Sentiment
Guidance also impressed, fueling bullish analyst revisions. Snowflake raised both revenue and earnings outlooks beyond expectations, prompting multiple price-target hikes. The consensus high-end target now sits at $285—about 20% above key resistance—suggesting further upside.
MarketBeat data show analysts growing increasingly positive: Sell and Hold ratings have declined while Buy and Strong Buy endorsements have risen. As of late August, Snowflake carries a Moderate Buy rating.
Although some insiders have sold shares in 2025, volumes remain modest, and insiders still hold over 6% of outstanding stock, limiting downside risk. Most insider sales came from former CEO Frank Slootman as part of a planned disposition, and institutions readily absorbed those shares.
Institutional investors have underpinned Snowflake's price action all year. After accumulating throughout 2024, they accelerated buying in 2025—purchasing over $2 of shares for each $1 sold. Institutions now own more than 65% of shares, providing solid support and contributing to the stock's multi-year, range-bound trading.
Snowflake Poised for New Highs in 2025
Post-earnings, Snowflake's stock jumped over 12%, finding support in the low $190s—the convergence of its 30- and 150-day EMAs—forming a sturdy base. Given the strong results, upbeat guidance, and positive analyst sentiment, the stock is poised to retest the range highs by the end of Q3 2025. The late-August consensus target of $240 would mark a three-year peak, and the uptrend is expected to continue into the quarter.
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