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Patch Tuesday Highlights Microsoft's Growing Security Edge
Written by Chris Markoch. Published 8/25/2025.
Key Points
- Microsoft’s $37B cybersecurity business rivals pure-play leaders like Palo Alto Networks and
- CrowdStrike.Patch Tuesday underscores Microsoft’s indispensability in global cybersecurity
- AI integration supercharges Microsoft’s security moat and supports its premium valuation.
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) is synonymous with artificial intelligence (AI). Its partnership with OpenAI ignited a rapidly expanding AI footprint and helped MSFT stock deliver a total return of over 150% in the past five years.
However, as AI adoption accelerates, so do the risks: generative AI enables faster, more sophisticated cyberattacks, forcing companies and governments to prioritize operational security. This dynamic has created a tailwind for pure-play cybersecurity firms like CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CRWD) and Palo Alto Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: PANW).
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Investors shouldn't overlook Microsoft, which is quietly building one of the world's most formidable cybersecurity franchises.
A $37 Billion Cybersecurity Business Hidden in Plain Sight
In fiscal 2025, Microsoft generated about $37 billion in security revenue—roughly 14% of total sales. By comparison, CrowdStrike's trailing twelve-month revenue is just under $4 billion, and Palo Alto Networks clocks in around $10 billion.
Despite its scale, Microsoft's security business rarely takes center stage. It doesn't appear as a separate line item on its earnings reports; instead, it's woven into the company's ecosystem—Microsoft 365, Teams, Copilot, Azure, and Windows.
This integration is a competitive advantage: rather than juggling multiple vendors, businesses can access identity, endpoint, cloud, and operational-technology security under one roof. That stickiness creates a lock-in effect, reducing switching costs and boosting recurring revenue as CIOs and IT teams deepen their commitment to Microsoft's platforms.
Patch Tuesday: A Reminder of Microsoft's Indispensability
Every month, Microsoft issues security updates for Windows, Office, and other critical platforms in a cadence known as "Patch Tuesday." On the surface, these patches look like routine maintenance. In reality, they're a recurring reminder of Microsoft's global responsibility to protect enterprise and government systems.
August's Patch Tuesday was no different, tackling vulnerabilities that, if left unpatched, could have exposed millions of systems. For investors, the key takeaway isn't the technical minutiae but the structural demand cycle it illustrates:
- Indispensability: Companies worldwide rely on Microsoft's updates as their frontline defense against evolving cyber threats.
- Customer Retention: Regular patch cycles reinforce dependency on Microsoft's ecosystem, strengthening pricing power.
- Upsell Opportunity: Each update is a chance to showcase AI-enhanced security features, driving adoption of premium solutions.
Patch Tuesday isn't just about fixing bugs; it cements Microsoft's role as an essential cybersecurity partner.
AI as a Growth Multiplier
What sets Microsoft apart is its ability to harness AI at scale. With over 1.4 million security customers and more than 65 trillion threat signals processed daily, it feeds vast data streams into AI models to deliver automated threat detection, rapid incident response, and predictive analytics that smaller firms struggle to match.
Beyond defense, AI is a monetization lever. By embedding AI-powered threat detection into premium offerings, Microsoft expands margins and delivers differentiated value to enterprise customers—granting it pricing power even in a competitive environment.
Cybersecurity Adds Support to a Premium Valuation
Microsoft trades at roughly 38x forward earnings—a premium to the S&P 500's 20x and above its historical average. Bulls argue this valuation is justified by cloud and AI leadership, but cybersecurity should be viewed as an underappreciated third pillar.
At $37 billion, Microsoft's security business rivals the scale of some smaller reporting segments and could surpass $50 billion by 2030 if it grows at a mid-teens CAGR. By comparison, Palo Alto Networks' entire revenue base today is just one-fifth of that.
Security spending is mission-critical, not discretionary; even in a downturn, companies are unlikely to slash these budgets. That resilience complements Microsoft's cyclical cloud revenues and underpins its premium valuation.
In short, Microsoft's expansive and integrated cybersecurity franchise enhances ecosystem stickiness and serves as an under-recognized driver for long-term growth.
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