Sunday, March 23, 2025

James Hardie’s $8.8 billion AZEK deal

Good morning and welcome back, it's Ainsley here with all the news you need to start your working week.Today's must-reads:• James Hardie to
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Good morning and welcome back, it's Ainsley here with all the news you need to start your working week.

Today's must-reads:
• James Hardie to buy AZEK in $8.8 billion deal
• Chalmers to unveil more cost-of-living assistance
• Salvaging Qantas just the start for new CEO
 

What's happening now

Building materials company James Hardie will buy AZEK, a maker of outdoor living products, in an $8.8 billion deal. AZEK shareholders will receive $26.45 in cash and 1.0340 ordinary shares of James Hardie for each share of AZEK common stock they own. 

Treasurer Jim Chalmers warned the impact of the new US administration's policies will have a "seismic" impact on the global economy, ahead of his fourth national budget due to be handed down tomorrow. Chalmers will unveil new cost-of-living assistance, with subsidies on electricity bills to be extended for six months at a cost of A$1.8 billion to the budget bottom line. 

Eighteen months into her role as Qantas CEO, Vanessa Hudson is pulling off what seemed like an improbable victory. She is simultaneously winning over disgruntled flyers, reporting super-sized profits and delivering knock-out returns for investors. In a rare interview, Hudson, 55, says the numbers are no one-off. And she maintains relentless demand for flights, coupled with the biggest fleet overhaul in the airline's history, is set to propel Qantas even further.

Vanessa Hudson, CEO of Qantas. Photographer: Carla Gottgens/Bloomberg

The Australian dollar may be headed for its first annual gain since 2020, as the central bank keeps interest rates high and the economy benefits from expected Chinese stimulus. The Aussie will climb as high as 68 cents by December, according to Westpac  and Bank of America, which would imply a gain of 8.4% from Friday's close. National Australia Bank and Westpac see the currency rising to 65 cents by the end of June, after some initial volatility.

I'm still old enough to remember when strawberries were a rare treat, writes David Fickling for Bloomberg Opinion. My own children are likely to grow up thinking of them the way I think of apples or bananas — affordable, year-round fruits. This is all due to remarkable innovation in recent decades that has turned a once-rare crop into a harvest on the scale of the global coffee or leather trades. It's also a sign of how such progress can make efforts to protect the environment harder.

What happened overnight

Here's what my colleague market strategist Mike "Willo" Wilson says happened while we were sleeping…

US stocks and the dollar edged higher into a weekend that saw Istanbul's mayor jailed on corruption charges, a Canadian election called for next month and news that planned US "reciprocal tariffs," expected April 2, are set to be more focused than initially planned. China said it's prepared for "shocks that exceed expectations." Some scary stuff offshore, which offsets a relatively quiet local calendar ahead with Australian monthly CPI reading Wednesday and New Zealand consumer confidence Friday as the highlights. Aussie and kiwi reactions to those should be limited.

The US is still hoping a broad ceasefire in Russia's war in Ukraine can be reached within weeks, even as Moscow increases strikes on Ukrainian cities and gives off signals that it's in no hurry to reach a deal.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney called an election for April 28, with polls showing a close contest between his Liberal Party and the Conservatives as the country faces a trade war and taunts about its sovereignty from US President Donald Trump. "President Trump claims that Canada isn't a real country. He wants to break us so America can own us. We will not let that happen," Carney said.

Turkey formally arrested President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's main political rival, a decision likely to trigger more market turmoil and protests across the country. Ekrem Imamoglu, Istanbul's mayor, was jailed on corruption charges Sunday morning, days after being detained by police.

Ekrem Imamoglu. Photographer: Alejandro Cegarra/Bloomberg

What to watch

All times Sydney
• Earnings include Synlait Milk
• 09:00 a.m.: Australia March S&P Global Australia PMI

One more thing...

Australia's Oscar Piastri won the Chinese Grand Prix from his first pole position ahead of McLaren teammate Lando Norris. Ferrari's poor form persisted, with both drivers disqualified with technical car issues.

SHANGHAI, CHINA - MARCH 23: Race winner Oscar Piastri of Australia and McLaren celebrates in parc ferme during the F1 Grand Prix of China at Shanghai International Circuit on March 23, 2025 in Shanghai, China. (Photo by John Ricky/Anadolu via Getty Images) Photographer: Anadolu/Anadolu Agency
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