Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Buffett v. Bears

The bears are suddenly out in full force. The S&P has fallen below 6,000... Nvidia lost 8% in one day after a solid earnings report...
 

"Our favorite holding period is forever."
– Warren Buffett


The bears are suddenly out in full force.

The S&P has fallen below 6,000...

Nvidia lost 8% in one day after a solid earnings report...

And last week's sentiment reading from the American Association of Individual Investors came back 60% "bearish".

In fact, it was the seventh most bearish sentiment reading in AAII's history.

Should you sell everything and retreat to cash?

The mainstream financial press says yes...

The permabears say yes...

And maybe your Uber driver says yes.

But history – and the actual numbers – say something very different.

When you really examine the data closely, the case becomes clear:

This could be a massive buying opportunity – possibly the biggest we'll see in our lifetimes.

How is that possible given the volatility we've seen recently?

You'll find the answer here, in this surprising market briefing from my friend and colleague Keith Kaplan.

Keith is the CEO of our corporate affiliate TradeSmith, a fintech firm like Chaikin Analytics that relies on data to help more than 60,000 individuals track some $30 billion in assets.

His team has used advanced algorithms to detect a rare pattern forming in the markets... right now, here in 2025.

According to their research, it appeared twice before going back to 1900.

And the last time it formed was 1996 – smack dab in the middle of the biggest decade for stocks since the Roaring '20s.

The pattern unfolded in the markets over five years.

Along the way, the Nasdaq retreated 5% or more... 25 times.

That included two bear-like pullbacks of 23% and 20% in the same year.

And yet, the Nasdaq rode this same pattern up 1,000% over that five-year timespan.

It posted annual gains in the double- and triple-digits every single year along the way.

The message: This pattern CRUSHED the bears the last time it appeared.

And based on TradeSmith's research... it's about to happen again here in 2025.

I should say, I have a ton of respect for Keith and his data-based approach.

Keith's research team has confirmed every aspect of the pattern using their world-class algorithms.

They've examined some 5.2 billion data points... going back over 125 years of market history.

And the numbers say this ultra-rare pattern is back again, here in 2025.

That's why I encourage you to at least see Keith's full briefing on his new prediction right away.

His numbers are compelling and well worth your time today.

Good investing,

Marc Chaikin
Founder, Chaikin Analytics

 

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