Wednesday, January 22, 2025

Supply Lines: How Europe sees Trump

As President Donald Trump slings tariff threats far and wide during his first week back in office, governments including the European Union
View in browser
Bloomberg

Supply Lines is now exclusively for Bloomberg.com subscribers. As a loyal reader, we'll keep sending it to you for a limited time. If you'd like to continue receiving Supply Lines, and gain unlimited digital access to all of Bloomberg.com, we invite you to subscribe now at the special rate of $129 for your first year (usually $299).

As President Donald Trump slings tariff threats far and wide during his first week back in office, governments including the European Union are bracing for his tough talk to descend into an actual trade war with the US.

The EU has already prepared lists of goods to target if Trump moves forward with tariffs if attempts to engage with his administration on alternatives such as a common approach to China fail.

Read More: Trump Pushes to Make US an AI Superpower, With Fewer Guardrails

But some officials in Brussels believe that trade disputes will mostly be transactional and there are deals to be done eventually. Trump has hinted, for example, that he wants to see the EU buy more American oil and gas.

The more vicious fights will be on tech regulation and the interests of America's tech giants, those officials predict.

The EU has several probes open against US firms, including Meta, Google and the social network X. It has developed regulations for everything from moderating content on social platforms and using artificial intelligence to stringent competition laws. Breaching the rules can expose companies to hefty penalties.

Tech Billionaires

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has already called on Trump to defend US companies against EU fines, comparing them to tariffs.

X owner Elon Musk, who like Zuckerberg and other tech billionaires attended Trump's inauguration on Monday, has regularly lashed out at the EU's rules and lawmakers.

Read More: EU Should Talk to US Before Retaliating on Tariffs, Kukies Says

Brussels so far has not shown any signs on changing course on its digital services or antitrust rulebooks. But the economic and political pressure to relent will be immense and it's not an area where scope for a deal will be straightforward.

"Let's focus on how we strengthen this transatlantic relationship and avoid any misunderstanding," Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez told Bloomberg TV in Davos, Switzerland, on Wednesday. (Click here to watch the full interview.)

Meanwhile, at Davos this week…Citigroup's top investment banker says US corporates are on the hunt for overseas deals thanks to a strong dollar, an easier regulatory regime and a widening gap in the multiples at which international companies are being valued. European stock markets have lagged the US, creating attractive acquisition targets for American corporates, he said. (Click here to watch the Bloomberg TV interview.)

Related Reading:

Alberto Nardelli in London

Click here for more of Bloomberg.com's most-read stories about trade, supply chains and shipping.

Charted Territory

Working with Trump | India is also preparing to work with the Trump administration to identify and take back all its citizens residing illegally in the US. Meanwhile, India's government is evaluating options ranging from a trade deal, cutting tariffs and importing more goods from the US.

Today's Must Reads

  • The World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, once a hub of globalism and progressive ideals, is now seeing a shift toward embracing Trump's ideology. (Click here to subscribe to Bloomberg's Trumponomics on Apple Podcasts.)
  • The global elite in Davos woke up Tuesday breathing a sigh of relief after President Donald Trump concluded his first day in office only talking about trade wars rather than starting any.
  • Vietnam Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh said his country's top leader recently talked with Trump and is ready to deal with the new US president and his administration.
  • Canada's prime minister said it's "in the interest of Canadians as well as Americans" to strengthen border security and raised concern about the rising volume of illegal guns and drugs flowing north from the US.
  • Mexico's President Claudia Sheinbaum called for cool heads to prevail after Trump's vow to impose hefty tariffs sent the country's currency tumbling on fears that Mexico will become a target of his administration.
  • A historic winter storm threatened natural gas shipments from one the biggest US export plants while heavy snow shut schools and airports in Houston and highways in New Orleans.

On the Bloomberg Terminal

  • Trump is keeping the focus on trade risk with the threat of 10% tariffs against China from Feb. 1, as well as levies on Canada, Mexico and the European Union. Bloomberg Economics says in a new research note that the risks are to the downside. 
  • Maersk says it expects 2025 global economic growth of about 2.8%, according to a market update.
  • Run SPLC after an equity ticker on Bloomberg to show critical data about a company's suppliers, customers and peers.
  • Use the AHOY function to track global commodities trade flows.
  • See DSET CHOKE for a dataset to monitor shipping chokepoints. 
  • For freight dashboards, see BI RAIL, BI TRCK and BI SHIP and BI 3PLS
  • Click HERE for automated stories about supply chains.
  • On the Bloomberg Terminal, type NH FWV for FreightWaves content.
  • See BNEF for BloombergNEF's analysis of clean energy, advanced transport, digital industry, innovative materials, and commodities.

Like Supply Lines?

Don't keep it to yourself. Colleagues and friends can sign up here. We also publish Economics Daily, a briefing on the latest in global economics.

For even more: Follow @economics on Twitter and subscribe to Bloomberg.com for unlimited access to trusted, data-driven journalism and gain expert analysis from exclusive subscriber-only newsletters.

How are we doing? We want to hear what you think about this newsletter. Let our trade tsar know.

Follow Us

Like getting this newsletter? Subscribe to Bloomberg.com for unlimited access to trusted, data-driven journalism and subscriber-only insights.

Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can't find anywhere else. Learn more.

Want to sponsor this newsletter? Get in touch here.

You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Supply Lines newsletter. If a friend forwarded you this message, sign up here to get it in your inbox.
Unsubscribe
Bloomberg.com
Contact Us
Bloomberg L.P.
731 Lexington Avenue,
New York, NY 10022
Ads Powered By Liveintent Ad Choices

No comments:

Post a Comment

WKSP Explodes 20% on Strong Interest

  Hello Everyone, All I have to say is WOW. WKSP is having an incredible session after dropping news this morning.  Rig...