Thursday, January 16, 2025

Rio Tinto, Glencore said to weigh mega merger

What you need to know today.
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Good morning, it's Georgie here in Sydney, happy Friday. Here's what you need to know ahead of the weekend…

Today's must-reads:
• Rio, Glencore said to weigh merger
• Star on brink of collapse
• Unemployment stays low

What's happening now

Rio Tinto and Glencore have been discussing combining their businesses, according to people familiar with the matter, in a Bloomberg exclusive. Any merger could result in the mining industry's largest-ever deal. The firms have recently held early-stage talks, the people said, about a tie-up that could potentially leapfrog BHP.

Australia's biggest listed casino operator, Star Entertainment Group, once had it all. Now it's bleeding cash, desperate for funding and — by some analyst estimates — has a 50-50 chance of collapsing. Read more on the gambling giant's demise here
 

Waiting for Star to fall? Photographer: Brent Lewin/Bloomberg

Australia's jobless rate remained low in December as the economy extended a streak of hiring gains. Traders still expect the RBA to make its first cut in April, while paring the chance of easing in February to roughly two-thirds from more than 70%.

US President-elect Donald Trump's pick for the next secretary of state has voiced the incoming administration's strongest backing yet for the Aukus security pact, likely reassuring Australian officials who have been privately concerned.

More and more Australians are ditching notes and coins as digital payments become the norm. In this week's podcast, Rebecca Jones talks to Adam Haigh about the demise of cash and what that means for Australians. Listen and follow The Bloomberg Australia Podcast on Apple, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you get your podcasts.

What happened overnight

Stocks struggled to make headway after a solid rally, while bond yields dropped on dovish remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller. Oil fell and Bitcoin breached $100,000 again. Australian stocks are expected to open slightly higher.

China will investigate allegations that the US dumps lower-end chips and unfairly subsidizes its own chipmakers, in potentially one of Beijing's strongest retaliatory moves against American technology sanctions.

Hong Kong is exploring options to raise taxes on top earners for a second year, people familiar said. Officials are looking at increasing the 16% rate on people earning more than HK$5 million ($642,000), or lowering the threshold for the highest tax bracket.

TikTok is poised for some reprieve that may kick a decision on the pending ban into Trump's administration. Joe Biden's team isn't planning to intervene before the Jan. 19 deadline, which falls on a holiday weekend, people familiar said.

What to watch

• Lynas Rare Earths quarterly production report due today

One more thing...

An ex-HSBC trader fired for using his work phone to discuss supplying drugs sued the bank claiming the "career-ending" dismissal was in fact due to his whistle blowing on potential front running. Yann Adem claimed losses of more than $5 million at a London employment tribunal.

The HSBC Holdings Plc offices in the Canary Wharf. Photographer: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg
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