Friday, January 24, 2025

ETF IQ: If you come for the king...

VOO vies for SPY's crown
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Bloomberg
by Katie Greifeld

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Welcome to ETF IQ, a weekly newsletter dedicated to the $14 trillion global ETF industry. I'm Bloomberg News reporter and anchor Katie Greifeld.

Watch the Throne

Vanguard is on the cusp of a coup as investors shovel ungodly sums of money into the firm's S&P 500 ETF (ticker VOO).

Nearly $18 billion has flowed into VOO in the opening days of 2025 — more than five times that of its closest runner-up, which happens to be another Vanguard fund, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That's on top of last year's $116 billion haul, which shattered the annual flow record and then some.

As a result, VOO now commands $626 billion in assets as of Friday, putting it on track to eclipse the $637 billion SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) — currently the world's largest ETF. 

It's a familiar story. Vanguard is well-known for its dedicated core audience of cost-conscious financial advisers and retail investors who tend to funnel money in and rarely withdraw. That buy-and-hold loyalty is thanks to Vanguard's rock-bottom fees. The firm's unique corporate structure — fund shareholders elect its board members — means that its products charge relatively little. VOO charges 0.03% on an annual basis, for instance, compared to SPY's 0.095% fee.

SPY, on the other hand, is prized among professional traders for its liquidity and razor-thin spreads. But the fund's superior trading volume often translates into chunky two-way traffic in the fund. Case in point: VOO has never posted an annual net outflow since its 2010 inception, while SPY has seen net withdrawals in five years during the time period. 

While VOO is hot on the heels of SPY, it's worth noting that BlackRock isn't too far behind. The $610 billion iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) has also soared in size, absorbing nearly $87 billion last year alone. IVV's fee currently matches that of VOO at 0.03% . But that could change, according to Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at TMX VettaFi.

"We also think BlackRock might become more aggressive in pricing IVV," Rosenbluth said. "Being the king of the ETF market is worth fighting for."

I Do Not Talk, I Am Just A Wrapper

One of the ETF industry's most-watched storylines in 2025 will be whether or not private assets make their way into the ETF wrapper. Cathie Wood, for her part, isn't too keen on the idea.

The Ark Invest founder and chief executive joined us on Bloomberg Television's ETF IQ this week for a wide-ranging conversation on markets under the second Trump administration, cryptocurrencies, and naturally, private assets. Wood manages the Ark Venture Fund (ARKVX), an interval fund that holds both private and public companies.

Last year saw the first applications for private asset ETFs get filed with the SEC — State Street's joint effort with Apollo being the most prominent. Might we see Ark attempt something similar? Here's what Wood had to say:

Right now, we're very happy with the interval fund structure... An interval fund allows daily inflows and quarterly redemptions up to 5% of NAV. That seems to be a better wrapper, I would think, for these public-private funds. Roughly 80% of our interval fund is private, 20% is public so that we can allow for redemptions.

Of course, the investment minimums and redemption limits that come along with interval funds are a foreign language to many ETF-native retail investors. But that's one of big unanswered questions in this thought exercise: how do you fit thinly traded private assets into a fund that trades all day, that investors can exit en masse at any time? 

In Other News 

An ETF from a relatively unknown shop is catching the attention of online traders and gathering flows after investing in Elon Musk's SpaceX.

Four years after handling the first conversion of a hedge fund to an ETF, Wes Gray is gearing up to lead a surge of tax-busting deals aimed at investors big and small.

A tech-powered approach to bond trading that helps firms move hundreds of securities in one go has just posted its best year yet.

Drill Down

In this week's Drill Down on Bloomberg Television's ETF IQ, we discussed the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) with Wood. Eric Balchunas of Bloomberg Intelligence calls ARKW the 'Trump 2.0' fund, given that many of its top holdings should perform well under the Trump administration's potential policies: Bitcoin and Tesla, for example.

Does Wood agree with the label? Yes, she said, but that optimism extends beyond ARKW alone:

Well, I think this administration is going to be incredible for innovation, so definitely not going to fight that. The only thing I would add is that the flagship strategy, ARKK, includes the space — the innovation space — that has been hit the hardest by regulation and a lack of M&A and that was what we call the multiomics or genomics space. We're going to see the most profound implications of artificial intelligence in that part of the market. When it comes to AI, the biggest application in the next five to 10 years is robotaxis, autonomous platforms. The most profound is curing disease. 

In any case, ARKW has gathered $1.9 billion in assets and charges 0.82% annually. It's outperformed massively over the past year, gaining 70% versus a 26% rise for the S&P 500, which the bulk of the fund's gains coming post-election. 

Next Week on ETF IQ

Nasdaq's Alison Hennessy and David Dziekanski of Quantify Funds join me, Eric Balchunas and Scarlet Fu on Bloomberg Television's ETF IQ on Monday at noon ET. Watch on Bloomberg Television, on the Bloomberg Terminal at TV <GO> and on  YouTube.

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