Friday, January 3, 2025

ETF IQ: A 'final straw' for WisdomTree

WisdomTree downgraded to neutral
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Bloomberg
by Katie Greifeld

ETF IQ is now exclusively for Bloomberg.com subscribers. As a loyal reader, we'll keep sending it to you until Jan. 6 2025. If you'd like to continue receiving ETF IQ and gain unlimited digital access to all of Bloomberg.com, we invite you to subscribe now at the special rate of $129 for your first year (usually $299).

Welcome to ETF IQ, a weekly newsletter dedicated to the $14 trillion global ETF industry. I'm Bloomberg News reporter and anchor Katie Greifeld.

Fed Up

Frequent readers of this newsletter will know that the overall ETF industry celebrated a record-breaking 2024. Not every issuer attended the party, though.

Case in point: WisdomTree. The firm was slapped with a downgrade to neutral this week by Northcoast Research, which cited WisdomTree's inability to attract a meaningful share of the $1 trillion funneled into US ETFs last year. Specifically, WisdomTree's US-listed lineup drew in just $1.6 billion, data compiled by Bloomberg show. On a global basis, WisdomTree suffered $500 million in outflows, according to Northcoast.

Analysts Keith Housum and Rodney McFall are throwing in the towel, calling last quarter's poor fund flow results the "final straw" in their decision to cut their ratings and expectation for 2025:

We have flagged our concerns about the company's ability to drive new fund flows into its ETFs throughout the year... Without a formative opinion on WisdomTree's digital efforts, we see the sidelines as the right place to be on the shares.

It's a sign of the times in the uber-competitive $14 trillion global ETF industry. As this newsletter has discussed, there's a simultaneous boom-and-bust underway: as issuers flood the space to compete for the trillions of dollars being shoveled into ETFs, standing out is an increasingly tall order. 

WisdomTree is just one example. While the company ranked as the 9th largest issuer as recently as 2017, it's since fallen all the way down to 15th, Housum and McFall wrote.

What's curious is that WisdomTree shares have been crushing it, both on an absolute and relative basis. The stock has soared 145% higher on a total return basis over the past five years — that compares to a 129% gain for industry leader BlackRock and a pedestrian 96% return for the S&P 500. Go figure!

No Rest for the Wicked

While most of the investment world closed up shop to celebrate the new year, crypto companies got busy cooking up a fresh batch of newfangled ETF offerings. 

As detailed by Bloomberg's Vildana Hajric, the potential funds range from an ETF from ProShares that would denominate the S&P 500's return in Bitcoin, applications from Volatility Shares for inverse and leveraged Solana funds, as well as proposals from Strive Asset Management and REX Shares for ETFs would offer exposure to convertible bonds issued by companies to buy Bitcoin.

"This is the continued evolution of launches to incorporate crypto strategies into ETFs. We'll see a lot of these in 2025," said Bloomberg Intelligence's Athanasios Psarofagis. "It's the hot thing — issuers love to strike when the theme is hot. We'll see crypto everything."

The convertible-bond ETF filings are particularly interesting. MicroStrategy Inc. issued about $6.2 billion worth of convertibles last year to fund the company's Bitcoin buying, and co-founder Michael Saylor told me on Bloomberg Television last month that he plans to plow ahead with more convertibles this year. 

While the planned funds from REX Shares and Strive plan to offer exposure to convertibles issued by several companies, MicroStrategy dominates the space. That being said, MARA Holdings Inc. sold more than $2 billion worth last year, while Core Scientific Inc. raised over $1 billion as well. As reported by Bloomberg's Bailey Lipschultz, crypto is expected to be a driving force in the market in 2025 as well.

In Other News

Investors yanked a net $333 million from BlackRock Inc.'s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) on Thursday, the fund's biggest-ever outflow.

… even so, IBIT's debut ranked as the "greatest ETF launch in history," growing to more than $50 billion in assets in under a year.

The same can't be said for gold: investors offloaded gold-backed ETFs for a fourth straight year in 2024.

Drill Down

Drill Down will be back next week with the return of Bloomberg Television's ETF IQ.

Next Week on ETF IQ

Vident Asset Management's Amrita Nandakumar and Joel Shulman of EntrepreneurShares join me, Eric Balchunas and Scarlet Fu on Bloomberg Television's ETF IQ on Monday at noon ET for our first show of 2025. Watch on Bloomberg Television, on the Bloomberg Terminal at TV <GO> and on YouTube.

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