*Performance since 7/1/2022. For more details on the performance calculation and methodology of Alpha Picks, click here. |
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► The 2025 markets are experiencing pressure amid the Fed's monetary policy shift and December's jobs report, which could push the S&P 500 into correction territory. By Friday morning, the S&P 500 fell 1.19%, the Nasdaq 1.38%, and the Dow 1.21%.
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► The global bond selloff pushed the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to 4.74%, a notable increase from the previous quarter and reflecting rising term premiums and inflation concerns.
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► Bitcoin's selloff deepened, sliding below $93K, despite crypto trends remaining in focus as Trump's Inauguration Day approaches.
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► Tariff threats are intensifying global tensions. In addition to the ongoing wars in Russia-Ukraine and the Middle East, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced his resignation, adding uncertainty to trade relations between the U.S. and Canada, as well as with other nations.
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Top 10 Stocks Picks for 2025 |
Quant offers tools that simplify stock picking by analyzing financial data to highlight stocks with the strongest investment fundamentals. On January 8th, VP of Quantitative Strategy Steven Cress unveiled his Top Stocks For 2025, powered by Seeking Alpha's Quant system. These selections follow the impressive performance of 2024's selections, which returned 125% compared to the S&P 500's 25% gain.
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Global Market Movements and Sector Performance |
Will a bear market arrive in 2025 if interest rates remain higher for longer? The Federal Reserve's decision to slow the pace of interest-rate cuts for 2025 has been the most influential event impacting the markets in 2025, influencing investor behaviors. Read More. |
Tech News: Nvidia and Facebook Shake Things Up
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Nvidia (NVDA) and Meta (META) CEOs made headlines this week following major announcements. Read More. |
In the U.S., the preliminary estimates for the 'apocalyptic' wildfires consuming parts of California are likely to cost $52B-$57B in damage – potentially one of the costliest U.S. wildfires ever. Read More. |
In addition to macroeconomic and political factors, sector-specific dynamics have influenced market performance. As highlighted in last week's Alpha Picks Week in Review, the Communications Sector (XLC) closed out 2024 as the top performer. Read More. |
Value Stocks vs. Growth Stocks
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Value stocks mostly outperformed their growth counterparts over the last week, likely driven by the increase in long-term rates, which have a greater impact on growth stocks and forward-looking earnings and valuations. Read More. |
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Bitcoin Slides to Lowest Level Since November: 2025 Crypto
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Bitcoin (BTC-USD) experienced a notable decline Thursday, sliding over 3% to just over $92,000, as the selloff erased all gains from early January 2025. Read More. |
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Despite a strong start in 2025 for the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), it experienced a pullback this week as investor sentiment shifted on mixed economic signals and geopolitical tensions. Read More. |
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In 2024, the S&P 500 climbed 23.3% relative to its closing price at the end of 2023. Using monthly data since 1930, the stock market has averaged 8.9% annual growth. This means last year was roughly 3 times higher than the historical mean. |
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► FOMC: December's strong jobs report complicates the Fed's rate-cutting campaign, with traders pricing in the likelihood of rates staying the same at 97.3%.
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► Inflation: Inflation remains sticky, with November's headline CPI at 2.7% y/y, an increase of 0.3%, and core CPI (excluding food and energy) remaining at 3.2% to solidify persisting inflationary pressures.
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► Labor Market: 256,000 jobs were added in December, far exceeding expectations, and the unemployment rate decreased falling to 4.1% from 4.2% in November.
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| ServiceTitan, Inc. (TTAN) |
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| Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NIC) |
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| CPI Report Released JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) |
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| UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) Bank of America Corporation (BAC) |
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| Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) |
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*Performance is as of January 10, 2025. Alpha Picks adds two stocks per month - on the closest business day to the 1st & 15th. Alpha Picks removes stocks based on rating thresholds (i.e., when a rating changes to a sell). Performance is calculated and reported daily using time-weighted returns. For more details on the performance calculation and methodology of Alpha Picks, click here.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Alpha Picks does not take account of your objectives or your financial situation and does not offer any personalized investment advice. Any content and tools on the platform are offered for information purposes only. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker, U.S. investment adviser, or investment bank. |
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https://email-st.seekingalpha.com/oc/629888ce0c4303264f02dffemq3cv.1sxjc/ba99569c |
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