Welcome to Balance of Power, bringing you the latest in global politics. If you haven't yet, sign up here. After Keir Starmer's big win for Labour this summer, it looked like UK politics might settle down following years of Brexit-induced turbulence. The Conservative leadership race has just blown that notion away. Tory lawmakers — their much reduced number adjusting to life in opposition — unexpectedly knocked out the centrist candidate to lead the party yesterday and narrowed the contest down to two right wingers. Kemi Badenoch, the self-styled "anti-woke" candidate, relishes a fight, most recently criticizing maternity pay as "excessive" and saying that some civil servants should be in jail. Robert Jenrick has crafted an image as an immigration hardliner, resigning from Rishi Sunak's government saying the former prime minister wasn't going far enough. Either candidate could help the Tories chase voters lost to Reform UK, the party of chief Brexit advocate and Donald Trump acolyte Nigel Farage. Kemi Badenoch. Photographer: Darren Staples/Bloomberg Regardless of who wins, the Conservatives are about to lurch further to the right. The Tory trajectory mirrors developments across Europe, from Austria's dabbling with the far right to success for populist parties in Germany and the Netherlands. True, Labour has a huge majority and is only three months in office, so the Conservatives aren't about to return to power. Yet a series of missteps by Starmer raise questions over his judgment that could negatively impact voter perception from the get-go. The UK's dire finances mean the new government will struggle to avoid either angering those voters it won over to secure its landslide, or failing to bring about the change that Starmer campaigned on. All of which leaves an opening for a pugilistic opposition leader with a populist bent to land blows and shape the debate, especially on immigration. More than eight years after turmoil was unleashed by the Brexit referendum to leave the European Union, things could be about to get stormy in Britain again.— Alan Crawford Robert Jenrick. Photographer: Darren Staples/Bloomberg |
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